Hello FA Cup! Are we in for some are and reasons why:
Swansea 6/1 vs Man Utd
Man Utd are in disarray at the moment, and the fear-factor Sir Alex built up over nearly three decades has evaporated along with fans confidence in David Moyes. Swansea nearly caused an upset with a late comeback against Man City just a few days ago, and should they field a strong team this is theirs for the taking. With RVP back any time now, will Moyes risk starting a full strength team knowing the league, and Champions League football next season is more important? I think we will see Adnan Januzaj, Javier Hernandez and even Wilfried Zaha. 6/1 is a great price, 10/3 to take it back to the Liberty. DNB is 9/2 and Double Chance (Swansea or Draw) is 7/4.
Derby 6/1 vs Chelsea
Chelsea have not lost at home under Mourinho, but away from home there is a lot to be desired. Derby are no question the in-form side in the championship at the moment, and will be high on confidence. Chelsea have previous in this Cup when playing smaller teams, and although we may see a strong team, never underestimate Derby. Schteve McClaren has them playing some terrific football, the kind that got him the Wolfsburg and Twente jobs. Mason Bennett, Simon Dawkins, Johnny Russell and Will Hughes are just a few of Derby’s elite, and are all Premier League Standard, which we may see next season!
Oldham 20/1 vs Liverpool
Once bitten, twice shy? Liverpool have played Oldham in the past 2 seasons in this Cup, losing 3-2 last January, so for a price of 20/1 to come out is ballsy from the bookies. As it was in August, there is no pressure on the Oldham boys, can they repeat history and give Liverpool a real test? 8/1 for the draw is also decent odds.
Leicester 12/5 vs Stoke
Leicester have beaten Premier League opponents already this season, so they have nothing to be afraid of. They are also top of the Championship. They have an extremely talented young squad, Anthony Knockaert one in particular to point out – he nearly signed for Newcastle a few years back, and was on trial there. A smidge over 2/1 is great value.
Cardiff 4/1 vs Newcastle
Newcastle have lost their last two games, as well as captain Fabrizio Coloccini for 6 weeks through injury, and have always faired badly when teams change manager just before the game (Sunderland have beaten them twice on the back of changing manager just before the game). Ole Gunnar Solskjaer has a decent team at his disposal, only the despicable Mr Tan going against him. Newcastle usually fail in the 3rd round, and will be under pressure from fans to do well, as, you know, they have not had anything to celebrate trophy wise in over 40 years. 4/1 is value for the Cardiff win.
Tottenham 3/1 vs Arsenal
So, another London Derby, and both teams are going in with some form behind them, and both struggling with a few injuries, yet Spurs still managed to beat Man Utd at the weekend, and Arsenal laboured to a late 2-0 win over Cardiff City. Adebayor loves scoring against his old clubs, and is 7/1 to open the scoring, 2/1 Anytime and 10/1 to score 2+. We fancy Spurs winning this, unlike AVB – Tim Sherwood will know how to motivate players for a local derby!
Fulham 5/2 vs Norwich
Fulham seemed to have turned a corner. 6 points from 9 over the Christmas time seems to have given them the boost they needed, yet poor old Norwich are struggling under Chris Hughton. At 5/2, Fulham are incredible value given the recent turn of events, and we feel that they have a great chance of beating a poor Norwich.
MK Dons 17/5 vs Wigan
Wigan have had a strange season. Much like when Birmingham were in Europe after Domestic Cup success – their form was inconsistent as they had to travel all over Europe to fulfil Europa League fixtures. MK Dons are a very dangerous Cup team, having knocked out several higher league opposition in the cups over the last few seasons, and giving Sunderland a fright earlier this season. Nick Powell (Man Utd, at Wigan on loan) could make all the difference, but MK have a great chance of pulling off a minor shock. 17/5 cracking value.
Bristol Rovers 5/1 vs Crawley
Not the most glamorous of ties but one to keep a close eye on. Crawley have recently sacked their manager, and are in poor form in League 1. Bristol Rovers are languishing lowly in League 2, but its the cup remember! This could easily be seen as a game with no pressure, that players can show the manager what they are capable of, if some are given the chance.
In the first two weeks of doing these Shocks, we have had a winner in both. 7/1 Hertha Berlin win over Dortmund, and 4/1 Spurs win over Man Utd. Hoping for one or two this weekend…
Tips are up tomorrow morning from 10am!