Having gone through the form book, and analysed this weekends actions and come up with 10 games we are confident will win. Last weekend we managed 9/10 – with only Monaco losing 1-0 to 10-man Guingamp, somehow. Here’s our view on the weekends games:
1. Atletico Madrid Win @ Evens (Score Both Halves @ 11/4) vs Celta Vigo
Playing a decent Celta Vigo outfit, Evens is a cracking price considering they have won 4 of the last 5 meetings both overall and away! Form wise, Madrid have won 4 of their last 5 games, and 3 of their last 5 away games. Celta Vigo have lost only 2 of their last 5 games overall, and home – but we think Atletico will win.
2. Villarreal Win @ 21/20 (Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 7/5) vs Vallecano
Villarreal face a badly out of form Vallecano side, who have lost 4 of their last 5 games, and 4 of their last 5 home games. In terms of their form, 3 wins from 5 games overall, and 2 wins and 2 draws from 5 away games. They have also won all of the last 5 games between the two, as well as 4/5 away meetings. All of these games they have scored at least 2!
3. Brentford Win @ 11/10 (Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 23/20) vs Charlton
Brentford are in fantastic form! 3 wins from 5 overall, and 4 wins from 5 away from home. Charlton on the other hand have not won in 5 games overall, or at home, with several draws and mainly losses.
4. Sampdoria Win @ 9/5 (Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 2/1) vs Chievo
Sampdoria are the Southampton of Serie A this season. Well up the table when they were expected to finish no better than mid-table. They have won 2/5 overall, and 2/5 away from home. But, in Serie A – away wins are rare. Chievo are pretty poor, with 2 draws and 3 losses in both their overall form, and home form. Also on our side is that Sampdoria have won 4/5 meetings!
5. Aberdeen Win @ Evens (HT-FT @ 15/8) vs Hamilton
Aberdeen have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 games, overall. Away from home, they have won 4 and drawn 1 of their last 5! Hamilton are in pretty poor form. 3 losses in 5 home games, and no wins in 5 games overall (D2/L3). HT-FT has landed for Aberdeen in 13/24 games for them this season!
6. Celtic Win @ 1/2 (-1 Goal @ Evens) vs St Johnstone
Celtic have won 4 and drawn 1 overall, and won 4 and drawn 1 away from home. St Johnstone’s form overall is average, but very good at home, with 3 wins from 5 games. Celtic however, have won 4 of the last 5 games between the two. They have not conceded in 8 games, and usually score 2-3 goals, and with their two new signings from Dundee Utd, they look even stronger. I would go WTN, but usually thats when the team we back concede.
7. Southend Win @ 8/11 (HT-FT @ 11/8) vs Accrington
Southend are in good form, with 4 wins and a draw from 5 games overall, and W2/D3 at home. Accrington have lost 4 of 5 games both overall and away from home. Worst form in the league. Excellent value this one!
8. Anderlecht Win @ 1/2 (-1 Goal @ 5/4) vs Mechelen
Won 3/5 both overall and at home (W3/D2 at home). Mechelen’s form is average at best. 3 draws and a loss from 5 games overall, and D3/L2 away. Anderlecht have won 4/5 home meetings between the two, however. We fancy them to win and win well!
9. Club Brugge Win @ 8/15 (Score Both Halves @ 6/4) vs Lokeren
Brugge have won 3/5 overall, and Won 4/D1 at home. Lokeren are in fairly good form, but away from home – they are very beatable. Brugge have won 5 from 5 games, and 4/5 at home vs Lokeren. Score so many goals at home, and in most games they manage to in both halves.
10. Sporting Lisbon Win @ 1/2 (Win to Nil @ 6/5) vs Belenenses
Lisbon’s form is excellent – Won 4, Drawn 1 both away and overall. Belenenses are a very low scoring team. 3 0-0’s in the past few games. If Lisbon score, they are pretty much screwed. Lisbon have won 3 of the last 5 games between the two, but even then we think they will score 2, and win to nil. Win most of their away games to nil, as they have a solid defence
Tips are coming up later on today – hopefully we follow last weekend’s success, where both of our main accumulators won @ 5.5/1 and 16.5/1!