Football Tips // 03.04.16


Hi all

Decent day for us yesterday – my Premier League accumulator was one goal off, and with Chelsea winning handsomely and Newcastle/Norwich providing plenty of goals, my 5/1 double landed fairly easily. Today, there is an inclusion from the Premier League but the rest are outside of England, with particular value in Spain!

Athletic Bilbao vs Granada: Bilbao -1 Goal Handicap @ 6/5 (La Liga, 1100 KO)

This is the earliest of the kickoffs today – but provides tremendous value!

Granada have lost 8 of their last 10 away games, conceding 26 goals and 4+ multiple times! Bilbao on the other hand are very good at home, with 8 wins from 14 in the league, and have won their last three in all competitions. Their front three of Muniain, Williams and Aduriz is one that can and has torn defences to shreds in recent months, and against one that is leaking goals I’m thinking they could rack up a few on Granada this morning!

Sevilla vs Sociedad: Sevilla -1 Goal Handicap @ 5/4 (La Liga, 1930 KO)

Now, somehow I have missed this. Sevilla…have won 19 of their last 20 home games, and 17 in a row! That is some serious record! Add to this fact that 14 have been by -1 goal or better and you must see where I’m going with this one. Looking at Sociedad – 6 losses in their last 10 away, and 8 in their 15 away games this season, and this looks an even better bet. They conceded 5 to Gijon not so long ago, and only four to Barcelona, 3 to At Madrid.

Their form is fearsome. Let’s hope today isn’t the day they let up!

Zlate Moravce vs Trencin: Trencin HT-FT @ 6/5 (Slovakian Super Liga, 1330 KO)

This is priced on Bet365, the handicaps would have been my preferred option but this is as good.

Trencin have 10 wins and 2 draws in their 12 away games this season, and look a shoe-in for the title. Overall, their side is by far the best in the league and 6 points clear with a game in hand says just that. Moravce are struggling, losing 12 of their 24 games so far whilst conceding 2 per game on average. Trencin have an excellent record against them, with 10 wins in a row – the majority HT-FT winning in betting terms.

That is all from me for today – there were two others I liked, but the prices have dropped significantly in the last 24 hours making them not worth backing. My preferred double is Sevilla -1 @ 5/4 and Trencin HT-FT @ 6/5 in a 4/1 double. The treble pays around 10/1.

Best of luck