Football Tips // 12.01.16


Hi all

Nothing yesterday – but with plenty of football on Tuesday and Wednesday I’m hopeful of a couple of double winners after 4/1 and 3.5/1 wins on Friday and Sunday.

Derby vs Reading: Derby -1 Asian Handicap @ 6/5 (1945 KO, Championship)

Derby are in very good form at home. In their last 8 games – 7 wins and 6 of those have been by the -1 required in this bet. A 1-0 bet would be enough to void it as you know, but with that sort of record – added to the fact they have taken Reading’s lead goalscorer (Nick Blackman) I really think they will win and win well.

Before Saturday’s 2-2 draw with Huddersfield, Reading had lost 6 away games in a row, 3 of which by 2 or more. Even with Blackman they were struggling to find the net. For me, this should be a cert!

Newcastle vs Man Utd: BTTS @ 1/1 (1945 KO, Premier League)

You may think I’m nuts backing Newcastle to score, but as a fan – I have seen over the last few years that they turn up for the majority of ‘Top 6’ games. Victories over Spurs and Liverpool, added to good performances against Arsenal, Chelsea and Man Utd this season. At home they have scored 14 of their 19 goals, and playing against an out of form Man Utd could find them getting a point.

The likes of Moussa Sissoko is the king of what I call being a ‘Big Time Charlie’. He believes he is a Champions League player and in my eyes his performances go up 25% when playing a team with a stature such as Man Utd. Henri Saviet is unlikely to play as he probably did not sign in time to be registered. At the weekend a new 3-5-2 formation worked well, with Kevin Mbabu impressing on the left side of the 5. Chancel Mbemba has done well since signing, and Alexander Mitrovic/Ayoze Perez have formed a decent partnership – but have lacked goals. Both will improve though, and a goal today will do them the world of good.

With Man Utd being taken all the way by Sheffield Utd on Saturday evening, Martial being caught having a fling and the world’s media on the back of Louis van Gaal – for me it all lines up to a pressurized game at St James’ Park where all the pressure will be on the away side. If the fans get behind Newcastle early doors it could have a telling effect.

This pays around 4/1 with most bookmakers.

Best of luck


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