Not the greatest of starts to a week. Porto B swept aside Lisbon B in what was a poor performances, while in the other game, Bucharest went 1-0 up early on and then had a red card, and despite Viitorul dominating the match, neither scored again.
Today I have a couple of bets – one seems very generous value!
U Madeira vs Benfica: Benfica Win to Nil @ 1/1 (Portuguese Primeira, 2100 KO – NAP)
Benfica have won 7 of 12 league games to nil this season, conceding just 9 overall. 4 of their last 5 games have been Win to Nil’s, against much better opposition. On the flip side, Madeira have scored just 7 in 12 games, failing to score in 8/12!
For me this is a 95% chance of a win, -1 is also 20/21 but for me WTN is the safer bet as Madeira don’t usually concede many, although 4-0 and 6-0 losses in their last 3 games suggests otherwise…
Derby vs Bristol City: Derby -1 Asian Handicap @ 1/1 (English Championship, 1945 KO)
After a dodgy start, Derby have really picked it up recently. Home form has been terrific – 5 wins in the last 6 including the likes of Wolves, QPR, Brentford and Rotherham. 4 have been by -1 goal, while the one that was not was a 1-0 win over QPR. Asian handicap came in handy last weekend, with Crotone dominating from first to last, but only managing a 1-0 win. A regular handicap would have lost, but thanks to the safety net, it was voided and a 9/1 win was the result!
Anyway – back to today’s game – City have lost 5/11 away games, and drawn 4. Really can’t see them winning, and with Derby’s home form even a 1-0 win and the Asian handicap coming into play, a void is the worst case scenario.
As a double, this pays 3/1.
Best of luck