A very good Thursday night – 3/4 overall, and a 5/4 NAP as well as a 5/1 double. Should have been a 12/1 treble, but I mixed up the Man Utd and Astana bets, got them in the wrong order hence why the prices given didn’t quite add up. Still, a Lucky 15 would have paid nicely!
Today – a treble, and what I think are three excellent bets:
Horn vs Liefering: Liefering Win @ 11/10 (Austrian Erste, 1930 KO – NAP)
Liefering are one of the best sides in the division, and have the pick of some of Salzburg’s youngsters as a feeder/sister team. The reason for such high odds is this – away from home they have won 1 and drawn 3, albeit to more difficult opposition than Horn.
Horn sit in the bottom two and have conceded 13 in 9 games, but against Liefering have lost 6 of their last 7 meetings, often conceding in excess of 3 goals. Top of the league and unbeaten – I fancy them to win this game and at 11/10, a cracking price!
Orenburg vs Spartak Moscow: Spartak Win to Nil @ 8/5 (Russian PL, 1500 KO)
This looks an interesting one. There shouldn’t be many goals, as between them they have conceded a total of 4 goals in 12 games – but Orenburg have scored once, against Rubin Kazan. Other than that, three 0-0 draws against Anzji, Arsenal Tula and Amkar make a rather toothless reading!
Spartak have won 5/6 games, all to nil – and as mentioned have conceded once in a 1-1 draw. They are top of the league, have scored 11 and at the back look very solid!
Tours vs Nimes: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10 (French Ligue 2, 1900 KO)
This is the first time I have ventured into the French 2nd tier this season. Tours are the leagues top goals for/against side – with a total of 19 in 6 games, while Nimes have a total of 14 in 6 (6 scored, 8 against). Both are not in good form, so should see this as an ample opportunity to gain some well needed points, as both sit in the bottom few teams.
The last 5 meetings have ended in such a manor: 2-1, 2-1, 3-2, 2-1 and 3-0. Goals usually on the cards, and I’m sure they should be once again today! Both have a 50% or better ratio for this bet, this season.
NAP: 1 @ 11/10
Double: 1 + 2 @ 4.5/1
Treble: 1-3 @ 11.5/1