Getting this on the site as early as possible as most, if not all of my tips for tomorrow are early kickoff’s in Russia. A good day today – Cesena won 3-0 while the Over 2.5 Goals tip in the Cagliari game landed in injury time, with Modena down to 10 men Cagliari scored two in the 5 minutes added on to land the 4.5/1 double!
Sunday – as mentioned, is primarily in Russian leagues:
Luch Energiya vs Zenit St Petersburg II: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (Russian 1st Division, 0800 KO)
Zenit II’s are probably the best team in Europe for this market – 23/27 this season, and 91 goals in their 27 games. Luch Energiya’s record isn’t as good, but still decent. 10/27 overall, but importantly 6/13 at home (pretty much 50%) – and their last meeting ended 3-1 to Zenit. They key is the fact that Zenit can’t defend, but can score for fun! Some weeks they win 3-0, others they lose 4-0. Away from home, they have a record of 12 over 2.5’s in 13 games! If this doesn’t win, it’ll be one of the most unlucky games of the season!
Sibir vs Kamaz: BTTS @ 6/5 (Russian 1st Division, 1200 KO)
The 2nd game of today’s tips is between one of the worst home teams in Europe, but luckily they are playing away from home where they are pretty decent. Sibir are also quite good at home, but have gone off the boil recently. BTTS is priced @ 6/5 which I think is value because of the above reasoning – Sibir have a BTTS record of 7 in their last 10 home, whereas Kamaz have a record of 6/10 away from home. In their last 5 meetings, 4 have ended BTTS, and with the away sides improvement on the road of late, I think it could go a similar route!
Volga Astrakhan vs Tom Tomsk: BTTS @ 1/1 (Russian 1st Division, 1600 KO)
For those who might well miss the early kick-off, this is an added game that I believe is great value. The last 4 meetings have ended BTTS, and come with a lot more goals than that! BTTS + Over 2.5 is a great option @ 13/8 for those who want a bigger price.
Both have around a 50% (16/27 for Tomsk, 14/27 for Volga) while home/away – it’s 6/13 for Volga and 7/13 for Tomsk. The head to head stats give me the greatest confidence though. 1-1, 2-2, 2-3 and 1-3 in their last four!
Yaroslavl vs Orenburg: Orenburg Win @ 5/6 (Russian 1st Division, 1400 KO)
The final instalment in today’s tips is a clash between the best team in the league and a mid-table one. Orenburg have won 7 of their last 10 away games, and their last was against Yaroslavl. They have scored fairly well, but the last three have been 1-0 wins (both in the league, and the last three away meetings with this opposition), so I’m expecting a close game.
Double: Zenit 2/Luch Energiya Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 + Volga/Tomsk BTTS @ 1/1 = 3/1
Best of luck