Apologies for yesterday – went for it big time, and although only the NAP landed, two others were very close – how Spurs did not manage a 2nd goal in their game is beyond a joke!
Today the football is mainly in the poorer leagues – Romania and Russia in what is quite an duo, as well as a 3rd game in France:
Lyon vs Montpellier: Lyon -1 Asian Handicap @ 23/20 (Ligue 1, 1930 KO – NAP)
Lyon are in very good home form, winning their last 4 in a row, with this bet winning in 3 and voiding in the other. They also beat Montpellier 5-1 twice last season, and with the away side in poor form (D3/L3) I think Lyon will put them to the sword and win 2/3-0 like they have in their last few home games. For those of you unfamiliar with the Asian Handicap system – 1 means that a one goal victory counts as a void, a 2 goal win counts as a win. Slightly worse price than the normal handicap system but you get added safety.
Ural vs Mordovia: BTTS @ 11/10 (Russian Premier League, 1400 KO)
Every Ural home game this season has been BTTS (7/7) and all but one went over 2.5 goals as well but given the price, safety is better to go with the BTTS.
The last 6 league meetings, weather it is in the Premier League or Division One – have all been BTTS!
Ural have scored 23 and conceded 25 with 11 BTTS in 16 games. Mordovia are not quite as good with their BTTS record, but score and concede at a greater average than 1 per game. They also put four past CSKA, but still lost 6-4…so you can see where I’m going with this one!
Pandurii vs Concordia: Pandurii Win @ 1/1 (Romanian Liga I, 1600 KO)
Pandurii have hit a good streak of form at home – 5 wins in a row in the League and in total this season scoring 2+ in 7 of their 11 home games.
Concordia on the other hand have been very poor this season, winning just one away games and losing 5.
Over 1.5 Goals for Pandurii was tempting but Concordia do lose a fair few games 1-0, so in the chance they win to nil and fail to score a 2nd, ala Spurs last night – I am going with a slightly safer option for the win. Massive egg on face should they fail to win now, or draw 2-2 or something daft like that!
My suggested double is 1 + 2 @ 3.3/1, with the 3rd game making it a 7.5/1 bet.
Best of luck