Football Tips // Europa League // 05.11.15


Morning all

Terrific day all-round yesterday. All 3 tips landed for myself – Porto won 10-4 on corners so -2 @ 11/8 was an easy winner. Dynamo Kyiv +3 corners was looking iffy for a long time, but three or four quickfire corners put them 6-5 ahead with 15 minutes to go, and with an end score of 7-7 it was comfortable. Roma-Leverkusen BTTS + Over 2.5 @ 10/11 was also an easy win – Leverkusen scored just after half-time to make it 2-1. 8/1 treble, and also a 3.1/1 double for those who took less of a risk.

Today looks vaguely similar – a BTTS + Over 2.5 bet as well as a corners bet, and a 3rd match if you want to bump it up to 9.25/1:

1. Celtic-Molde BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (1800 KO)

Both have now played 3 games each, and in all of those games BTTS has happened. Celtic have drawn two games 2-2 and lost 3-1 to Molde, while Molde have won two games 3-1 and drew the other 1-1. Neither have terrific records in this market domestically as the leagues on the who are quite poor, and when you are one of the best and face substandard teams each week, you don’t concede many Celtic (home) and Molde (away) have 5 BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals in their last 10.

Molde’s season is now over domestically, so they have no concerns about weekend games – so should be at full strength. Celtic could probably play a team of harnessed chickens and still win on the weekend, so again should have a full team out.

2. Liverpool-Rubin Kazan Corner Match Bet – Liverpool Win @ 21/20 (1800 KO – NAP)

Like the last few days, matches that are taking place in the deepest, darkest corners of Europe are tough for the travelling team, and often you find they really struggle. Atletico Madrid failed to beat Astana of Kazakhstan – and Thursday, Liverpool travel to Russia to play Kazan. Once again I am going with a corners bet, but this time without any handicaps.

Liverpool to win on corners is 21/20, as are both teams. But, even with a changed team I think the Scousers will win, as they won 15-3 last time and also beat Sion and Bordeaux 8-1 and 8-4. In the league, they comfortably beat Chelsea 7-1 while also beating Bournemouth and Southampton. What gives me great confidence this time around is that Jurgen Klopp has taken a full squad to Kazan for this tie, leaving behind only injured players. With 3 draws from 3 games, they need a win and Klopp looks to be taking it seriously!

This pays a smudge over 3/1, but if you want the extra game I advise the following:

3. Villarreal -1 Goal Handicap @ 6/4 vs Dinamo Minsk (1800 KO)

This game ended 4-0 to Villarreal last time out, and despite the travelling – their squad is nearly full strength. With Minsk not having scored a goal yet, and conceded 7 in 3 games – they will feel the pressure to give their fans something to cheer about and for me that is when they will be at their most vulnerable. Villarreal have a quick side, with a strong keeper and back four. Further up, Cedric Bakambu is likely to start again, with his brace last time helping them in their huge win. With so little threat coming from the other end, Villarreal should win this and quite comfortably at that.

That takes it to 9.25/1 – and for me the only other game with good value is BTTS + Over 2.5 goals in the Plzen-Rapid game, but officially sticking with this treble – but if you want an accumulator, that would be my pick.

Best of luck for the day!