This is just an accumulator that takes into account the first three days of the international break, and the first of the last two matchday’s. There is some high value in there, that I feel should come off if teams play to their potential:
1. England -2 Goal Handicap @ 5/4 vs Estonia (1945 KO, Friday)
With Rooney looking certain to miss out, I feel this will benefit England as he tends to slow things up. I remember the last game against Estonia – you had the younger players playing some lovely one-touch football, interchanging passing – and then it got to Wayne, who stopped, and sprayed it 30 yards out of play. Epitomises the two generations of footballers currently in the team.
Anyway – with Kane or Walcott likely to take his place, and Sterling, Oxlade Chamberlain and Townsend competing for a place on the wings – England should have pace in abundance, as well as creativity from the likes of Lallana, Barkley and Carrick behind that front three. Estonia cannot come to get a point – if they have an ambition to go to France next summer they need to win, which again will play into England’s hands. An easy 3-0 is what I see happening, with a penalty somewhere in there too.
2. Belgium -4 Goal Handicap @ 7/4 vs Andorra (1945 KO, Saturday)
Belgium won this 6-0 last time, and with a win needed to secure a place in next summers’ tournament – I think they will do it in style. The pitch may not help them, but with their quality all over the pitch they should have no problems putting a few goals on an Andorra defence which has conceded 30 goals in 8 qualifying games. -3 is a little safer @ 5/6, but I think they will bag a tonne of goals with some fringe players wanting to impress.
3. Poland Win @ 17/10 vs Scotland (1945 KO, Thursday)
Poland look a class outfit, and with the players at their disposal – they should be. Lewandowski is the obvious threat, but with the likes of Milik, Sobiech, Rybus and plenty more in their ranks – 17/10 is looking rather generous from the bookies. Yes, Scotland need to win – but when you struggle to beat the likes of Georgia and concede to Gibraltar – a Polish team containing a world-class forward and several international class players should beat the Scots – who need a point if not more to take it to the final game.
4. Slovenia Win to Nil @ 13/10 vs Lithuania (1945 KO, Friday)
Slovenia have been quite good in this qualification period – taking Switzerland and England on, scoring 6 against those two in the process. They have dispatched of Lithuania, Estonia and San Marino in their other games and look a safe bet for 3rd and with a win here can confirm their playoff spot, should England beat Estonia. Lithuania have failed to score in 7 of their last 10 away games and did so too in the 2-0 reverse fixture. -1 is risky, as these teams can often be hard to break down – but when you have lost three of four away ties – two of which by four goals (a win against San Marino is barely anything to phone home about…). In short, Slovenia to win, and keep a clean sheet in the process.
This acca, with Bet365 pays around 40/1 – which looking at statistically looks fantastic!
Best of luck