A decent day yesterday – the NAP landed after just one corner in the first 35 minutes, but then another 13 corners in the remaining 55! It was the complete opposite of the Sevilla game a few weeks back…Add Brondby Win to Nil and we had a 4/1 winner, but Fenerbache only managed a 1-0 win over 10-man Mersin, and HJK drew 2-2 with a team who had not picked up a point all season…typically our luck!
Today looks pretty good – I have found plenty of value, and a NAP that is a Win to Nil bet – risky, but I picked one yesterday @ 29/20, so I’m feeling confident. Here are my four tips for the day:
1. Fiorentina Win to Nil @ 11/10 vs Parma (Serie A, 1800 KO) (NAP)
Fiorentina are in pretty decent home form, and are in need of a win to maintain their fight for an automatic qualification spot for the Europa League. Parma have lost 12 of their last 15 away games, drawing 3 and losing 7 to nil, failing to score in 8. In their last 3 defeats, they have conceded 10 and scored none (4-0 Lazio, 4-0 Cagliari and 2-0 Genoa). With Fiorentina now out of the Europa League, they should be fully focussed on the league. They have also won 2 of the last 3 meetings when at home to nil, with 3-0 and 2-0 wins.
2. Napoli-Cesena Over 11.5 Corners @ 6/5 (Serie A, 2000 KO)
In Cesena’s last five away games – 14, 18, 17, 11 and 9 corners – every time they have been outscored massively, with several opposition getting over 10 on their own. They are really poor, and are already relegated! Napoli are in a battle with several teams for 4th, and need a win to keep it up. They have been getting a load of corners recently, and in their last 5 home games – 15, 16, 12, 9 and 8 – but the last two were Wolsburg and Fiorentina, so tough games. The first two games they had all but one of the corners…which is incredible!
3. Orgryte Win @ 4/5 vs Norrby (Swedish Division 1 – Sodra, 1800 KO)
Early season form for Orgryte is good! 3 wins from the opening 5 games, scoring 12 goals in total. Norrby have gained 1 point from 5 games, and conceding 11. Orgrye have won 6 of the 7 meetings there have been between the two, so a good record in this fixture. If other markets like Over 1.5 Team Goals was available, I would have gone with that but no bookmaker has priced that at the moment.
4. Djurgarden Win @ 11/10 vs Halmstad (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1800 KO)
Djurgarden have won the last 5 games, and sit in the top 5 in the table. They have scored a wad of goals, and look a team full of confidence! Halmstad have lost the last three games, and are doing very poorly so far this season. I expect the away side to continue their good form, and put a couple of Halmstad
Right – to be fair I have already put them in order in terms of my favourite tip to my least favourite – so in terms of a double and treble, as well as the Acca – here is my suggestions and prices:
1. NAP @ 11/10
2. Double (1 + 2) – 4/1
3. Treble (1 + 2 + 3) – 7.5/1
4. Accumulator (All four) – 17.5/1
Best of luck!