Football Tips // Monday


Morning all

Poor weekend from a football perspective – 3/4 Friday, 0/4 Saturday and 2/4 Sunday. No suger-coating necessary! Odds-wise there is not a great deal of ‘likely’ bets around today, but I have spotted a 20/1 Win + BTTS double that I quite fancy:

1. IFK Norrkoping Win + BTTS @ 15/4 vs Elfsborg (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1805 KO)

Norrkoping have won 9 of their last 10 games, with 7 BTTS + Wins, including the last 5 in a row! They are top of the league and face Elfsborg who are a decent outfit, sitting in the top 5, but have lost 3 of their last 6 games – all being BTTS as well. Both seem to leak a goal or two per game, but Norrkoping in better form. Elfsborg have had the better of recent meetings, but this season the side we are backing today have been on fire and could well win their first league title in a long old while.

2. IFK Goteborg Win + BTTS @ 7/2 vs Djurgarden (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1800 KO)

Goteborg are again in good form, with 7 wins in their last 10 games – including 3 Win + BTTS, however their form away is checkered after a Europa League run, which in turn affected league form before that. They still sit in the top 3, while Djurgarden are in the top 10, losing 3 of their last 5 games, with two being BTTS as well. They are very good on the offensive but weak at the back, losing 4-2 to Norrkoping and 2-1 to Orebro. Last time this ended 0-0, but in what was our NAP that day – I’ve still no idea to this day how it ended 0-0, with missed penalties, disallowed goals and over 30 shots

My NAP for today is as follows:

3. Pogon Szczecin-Zaglebie Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 Polish Ekstraklasa, 1700 KO)

Zaglebie have come up and continued their fine scoring run – with over 2.5 happening in arond 66% of games, and in 8 of their last 10 games both overall and away. Szczecin have had over 2.5 in 4 of their last 10, but 4 others have been BTTS, and 9/10 with at least 2 goals. The last 5 meetings have ended 2-2, 1-1, 2-0, 3-0 and 4-0, and with 80% of Zaglebie’s away games going over 2.5 goals this season I have great confidence. Just 40% of Szczecin’s home games have, but today they play a very attacking side who go for the wins – with a total of 18 scored and 17 conceded in 11 games. Pogon are unbeaten this season, so definitely a side to fear

Best of luck


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