Another horrid weekend of shocks and under-performances from the likes of Man City, Debrecen, Tamworth and Grimsby, not forgetting Zenit! Sunday brought around a close call on a 20/1 4 fold, with three correct calls from 4 – just Zenit mucking it up. Everton -1 Goal was also a good call, with a 3-0 win and Newcastle having Coloccini sent off. Before going for Sturm Graz DNB I had BTTS 1st half @ 3/1 – so in future, sticking with my gut!
Today we have a 23/1 Tip that is mainly on the Over 2.5 or 3.5 market – a full set of Dutch Erste division games, plus fixtures in England, Italy and Spain – the Accumulator paying 20/1:
1. *NEC-Volendam Over 3.5 Goals @ 11/10*(1900 KO) – NAP!
At home, NEC average 4.4 goals per game, with just 4 games in 14 staying under 3.5 goals. Away, Volendam average 4.6 goals per game, with 2/14 not going over 3.5 – so this has amazing stats to back up. For me this is the bet of the day with such fantastic statistics to go off!
2. Getafe-Sociedad Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/8 (1945 KO)
Three of the last 5 between these two have gone over 2.5 goals. Getafe’s last 5 home games have all gone over 2.5 – won a couple, lost a couple. Sociedad are more unpredictable in this market – just 2/5 overall and 2/5 when playing away. However, they have had a lot of tough games, three of those 5 away games against top 6 sides. The riskiest of the 4!
3. Swansea-Liverpool Over 2.5 Goals @ Evens (2000 KO)
Swansea are a strange one – amazing one game, shocking the next! Liverpool have won 4/5 away, all four to nil and not conceded in all 5. However, the last 5 meetings either both have scored, and its gone over 2.5, or it has just gone over 2.5!
4. Torino-Lazio Over 2.5 Goals @ 23/20 (1800 KO)
The last three meetings have gone over 2.5 goals, as well as Lazio having the most over 2.5 goal games in the league 18 over, 8 under. Torino have defensive issues – conceding a lot of goals recently, but also scoring a few. Pretty much 50/50 in their games in terms of going over 2.5 or not
A few other games considered were the likes of Troyes vs Valenciennes and Gaziantepspor vs Trabzonspor, but ultimately picked these four!