Another fantastic weekend – both NAP’s from Saturday and Sunday won (Palace Over 1.5 Goals @ 2/1 + Betis Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 19/10) as well as an Over 3.5 Goals double (Utd-City + Salzburg-Vienna) which both ended with 6 goals in. On the Preview we managed 7/10, with 3/4 on both Accumulators. Sunday’s tips brought 4 correct picks from 6, including the two Over 3.5’s, Betis + Over 2.5 @ near 2/1 and Aberdeen @ Evens. Saturday night saw an 11/1 single tipped on our live Twitter feed…so all in all a great weekend!
Today see’s a few higher value tips – the lowest is 13/10 and the highest a smudge over 2/1 – altogether it’s 58/1, with my suggested double around 7.5/1:
1. Liverpool Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/5 vs Newcastle (NAP) (Premier League, 2000 KO)
You will not get a more honest assessment of Newcastle than from me. As a fan, I’m very well clued up on the whole situation. Today, they are likely to stick with a similar side that lost to Sunderland. A back 4 of Jonas, Williamson, Janmaat and R Taylor – shocking. The team could barely muster a decent pass, yet alone a shot at goal last weekend. Liverpool, at home – are in good form. 4 wins in 5 games, and plenty scored against teams a lot better than Newcastle. The Toon have scored 4 in their last 5 away games, and three of those came against Hull. With the likes of Sturridge, Sterling, Coutinho and more – they will maul this poor Newcastle defence – I can see a 4/5-0 drubbing on the cards! My top tip for today!
2. Valencia Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 21/10 vs Levante (Spanish La Liga, 1930 KO)
In Valencia’s last 5 home games, they have scored just 8 and conceded 1. Bar a 3-1 win over Sevilla, they have won 1-0, 2-0, 2-0 and drawn a game in there too. At home to Levante last season, they won 2-0. Levante lost 1-0 to Villarreal and 2-0 to Real Madrid, so can hold their own against the best, and have lost 4 of their last 5 away games.
3. Angers Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 11/5 vs Valenciennes (French Ligue 2, 1930 KO)
Angers have won 3 of their last 5 home games to nil, and under 2.5 (1-0, 2-0 and 2-0). They have kept 4 clean sheets in that set of games. Valenciennes have drawn 3 of the last 5 away games, and in those 5 games only 7 goals have been scored. In Angers 5 home games, just 8 goals have been scored. I can envisage a very low scoring game here. The previous meeting this season ended 1-0 to Angers.
4. Jong Ajax-Emmen Over 3.5 Goals @ 13/10 (Dutch Erste, 1900 KO)
These two sides are among the highest scorers in the league. Emmen average 3.9 goals per game, while Ajax average 3.7 goals per game. The last two games have ended 4-0 and 2-2. Both have a 50% or better Over 3.5 Goals ratio this season (Emmen – 19 Over, 14 Under) (Ajax 17 Over, 16 Under). We’ve been pretty hot on the Overs market in the last few weeks, and hopefully that will continue today!
As mentioned – 58/1 together, and my double is as follows:
1. Liverpool Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/5, Angers Win + Under 2.5 Goals @ 7.4/1
Another good bet for the Liverpool-Newcastle game is Both Teams Not to Score + Over 2.5 Goals @ 4/1 – I’m expecting at least a 3-0 win for Liverpool, with Newcastle having the goal-threat similar to that of a harnessed child.
Best of luck