Last weekend yielded 7 wins in 10 – with a 30/1 accumulator very close, only Juan Mata’s red card costing us that one, while Southampton also struggled with 10 men against Sunderland. This weekend see’s a rather fragmented set of games, with just 5 on over 3 days due to the next phase of the FA Cup. There seems to be a lot of games between title chasing sides and relegation threatened ones, which makes the handicap market a very good choice for at least 3 of the 5!
Norwich vs Man City
City faced a side not much better off than Norwich last weekend, and after a dull first half, scored 4 in a short space of time to win with ease. This time around, Man City face a Norwich side who are nearly as bad, but a little better on the front foot. Either way I don’t see them preventing City’s push for the top four and City punishing slack defending. Man City -1 Goal @ 11/8 – for those who prefer a little safety, -1 Asian Handicap is 21/20, while -2 Goals is 15/4, which will feature in a 20/1 double.
Bournemouth vs Swansea
Both of these have improved of late, albeit playing poor opposition. Bournemouth have now racked up enough wins to be pretty much safe, as have the Swans. Swansea have had 6 BTTS in their last 7 away games, while Bournemouth have around a 50/50 record at home. Their last 5 meets have ended BTTS, however 3 of those were nearly 10 years ago and one was in the summer of 2014. The one earlier this season ended 2-2, which bodes well. BTTS @ 21/20 my best bet for the game.
Stoke vs Southampton
This is a tough one to call. Southampton will be missing Jose Fonte after his red card last weekend, but might have Shane Long back. Their run of 6 straight clean sheets is well and truly over after 3 games of conceding goals – while their away record is pretty poor, losing 5 of their last 10. Stoke are hit and miss too. taking a point from Chelsea, and beating plenty of the big boys – but then losing to Everton, Palace and a few others. With Fonte and a few others missing, I think Stoke’s attacking players will get the better of Southampton and give them a win. Stoke Win @ 7/4
Aston Villa vs Tottenham
Spurs travel to Villa Park on Sunday afternoon after their first leg defeat against Dortmund. A few players were rotated, and fans were not happy as BVB really hammered them. Villa are as good as down – 16 points so far, and winless in what seems an age. It should be an easy 3 points for Spurs and for me -1 Goal @ 5/4 is the value bet.
Leicester vs Newcastle
Monday Night Football’s game is Leicester vs Newcastle. Steve McClaren was today sacked, and Rafa Benitez installed as manager (not head coach) – however I still can’t see him stopping a defeat here. Leicester won 3-0 away from home against them earlier in the season and I’m fancying a similar scoreline in this game. As far as their run-in goes this could be the easiest three points of the 9 remaining. 5 points clear at the top, to win the title they need to take the 3 Monday night! -1 Goal Handicap @ 11/8 my top tip. Again for the safer of you, -1 Asian Handicap is 1/1. -2 Goal Handicap is 15/4 in the 2nd part of my risky double!
Safe Double: Man City -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 21/20 + Leicester -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 1/1 = 3.2/1
Risky Double: Man City -2 Goal Handicap @ 4/1 + Tottenham -2 Goal Handicap @ 7/2 = 22/1
Accumulator @ 20/1:
- Leicester -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 1/1
- Man City -1 Goal Handicap @ 11/8
- Tottenham -1 Goal Handicap @ 13/10
- Bournemouth vs Swansea BTTS @ 21/20
I was tempted for Newcastle and Man City both -2 Goals, but with Benitez as manager and a usual perk-up in performance with a new manager, I think it will be closer than it would be under Macca. I’m not doing the FA Cup this time around, but feel confident in these 5 picks so don’t feel the need.
Best of luck