Good morning all
My apologies for the last few days – no matter what research and statistics I have come up with, the games have just gone wrong. Red cards have been a big cost – but with the rough comes the smooth, so lets hope today is the day we break this curse! I have picked 3 from the 5 in my Preview, and added one that is of fantastic value that I originally missed, as well as a 16/1 double:
1. Crystal Palace-Arsenal BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 (Premier League, 1330 KO)
Palace started well with a 3-1 win over Norwich, while Arsenal lost 2-0 to West Ham. This fixture finished 2-1 and 2-1 last season, and with a creative midfield I’m expecting Palace to score. Arsenal looked decent, dominated much of the game (chances wise) but could not score. I think they will this week as any Alan Pardew team struggles to defend. Should be a good game!
2. Slavia Prague-Vysocina Jihlava BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/5 (Czech Synot Liga, 1600 KO)
This is usually a very tasty game. BTTS + Over 2.5 has landed in 4 of the last 5 meetings overall and 5/5 when played in Prague. Both have had a relative sedative start to the season, three or four games in and only a couple BTTS + Overs between them. They met over the summer and Slavia won 4-1, which is only a good sign!
3. Anderlecht Win @ 1/1 vs Oostende (Belgian Pro League, 1330 KO)
Anderlecht have an excellent record against Oostende. The last four games have been 2-0, 3-0, 3-0 and 4-0 wins, though the likes of Mbemba and Mitrovic have left – they still have a load of talent including Dennis Praet to name but one. They have started the season well with 2 wins and a draw (actually both have!) but neither have played anyone that good (bar Anderlecht who played last seasons Champs).
4. Goteborg-Hacken BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5 (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1400 KO – NAP)
This bet would have landed in 11 of their last 15 meetings, with BTTS landing in 12/15. Goteborg have the upper hand, winning four of the last 5, which is why this will also feature in our 16/1 double! In the last 5 home meetings, the scores have been 3-1, 3-2, 3-1, 1-1 and 2-2, so a team Goteborg struggle with despite the stat that Goteborg have kept 7 clean sheets in their last 10 home games.
The above pays nearly 30/1 in an accumulator, with my suggested double being Anderlecht Win @ Evs and Slavia-Jihlava BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 8/5 in a 5/1 double. I don’t like everything resting on the NAP, so this is a good way around it.
16/1 Win + BTTS Double
1. Heerenveen Win + BTTS @ 4/1 vs Utrecht
Heerenveen have won the last three meetings between the two, 3-1, 2-1 and 4-1. H/V won the first game of the season 3-1, while Utrecht lost 3-2. This should be full of goals and a cracking watch!
2. Goteborg Win + BTTS @ 5/2 vs Hacken
Goteborg have won four of the last 5 meets in this fashion, mainly 2-1’s. They are a very good team and look a shoe-in for the title this season! Hacken always seem to score against them though, which is what is making me tip this!
Best of luck for today – trust me it’s as frustrating for me as it is for you all. I hate seeing my tips lose, but accept that even with the best stats backing each, it’s just what makes football the game we love!