2 goals off on both sets of tips yesterday – draws for Valencia and Swansea, when both really should have won looking at the stats. A couple of 1-1 draws on the BTTS + Overs acca, Wimbledon-Carlisle and Tottenham-Leicester the games to let us down, but oh so close on two 20/1+ winners!
Today looks good – here are my four picks:
1. Lech Poznan-Piast BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10 (Polish Ekstraklasa, 1430 KO)
Poznan are in poor form after a long run in the early rounds of European competition. Piast on the other hand sit top of the league – with both sides having a record of 3 out of 5 for BTTS + Over 2.5 goals. In the last 5 meetings, the scores have been 3-2, 4-0, 4-0, 2-0 and 3-0, but with the consideration of form, I’d fancy Piast to bag a goal or two against a confidence-devoid Lech.
2. Saratov Win @ 1/1 vs Kamaz (Russian 1st Division, 1500 KO)
Saratov have started the season well, with four wins and two draws in 7 games, sitting well in the top four at the moment. Kamaz on the other hand have lost all 7 of their games, and look dreadful – conceding 15 and scoring exactly 0. This looks fantastic value!
3. Altach-Admira Wacker BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 23/20 (Austrian Bundesliga, 1800 KO – NAP)
Admira were nearly relegated last season. Now, at the start of this one – they sit 2nd and are playing very well, beating Salzburg 2-0. Altach have had to play in the Europa League, so their form in the league has suffered. Altach have a record of 3 BTTS + Over 2.5’s in their 5 games, while Admira have a record of 4 BTTS + Over 2.5’s, with their other game simply being BTTS. The last meet between the two ended 2-2.
4. Dortmund Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/10 vs Ingolstadt (Bundesliga, 1430 KO)
Dortmund look back to their normal selves. Thomas Tuchel is the next ‘Klopp’ type manager (and a tactical genius) and after leaving Mainz at the end of the season before last, he has taken up his new job. He has them playing well, but still conceding. They beat Monchengladbach 4-0, but then conceded 3 midweek to Odd, but still won 4-3 after being 3-0 down. Ingoldstadt were promoted last season and beat Mainz 1-0 last weekend, but I think they will get a trouncing this weekend.
Bar the NAP – my favoured double is a 3 + 4 combo @ 4/1, and if you put all four together you get about 20/1
Best of luck