Yet again yesterday it was a couple of Red Cards that had a detrimental effect on our tip. The two BTTS games ended 1-0 and 2-0, with both Roma and Lille both resting players, while Wolfsburg drew 1-1 with Frankfurt, and PSV had a man sent off in the first minute, yet won 2-0. Did not manage a 3rd goal.
Today is a smaller price bet – 4 games, 12/1 Accumulator:
1. Real vs Sevilla BTTS @ 4/6 – always goals in this one, often 5 or more. Real’s defence has been decent recently, 3 conceded in 5 home games, but we feel with Sevilla’s strong forward line they could bag a goal, but still lose.
2. Dortmund vs Augsburg BTTS @ 10/11 – Dortmund sit bottom, with Augsburg in the top 8, and in good form. The last few between these two have ended BTTS, and with Dortmund’s issues, we think @ 7/1 Augsburg could be fair game for the win.
3. Paderborn Win @ 6/4 – There have been 17 goals in Paderborn’s last 5 home games, with both teams scoring in all 5. Hamburg seem to be in a low scoring run (9 goals all season!) – and are going down fast Paderborn are decent at home, and at 6/4 we feel that is value.
4. Liverpool Win @ 4/7 – Like Man Utd last night, we think that Liverpool will overcome Bolton, eventually. Their overall quality should see them through.
Best of luck