2/4 last night, with 8/5 and 6/5 wins – ironically it was the two picks of under Evens that messed up, one ending 2-0 and the other 1-0 in what was a dull night in Holland. This weekend I have plumped for a -1 Asian Handicap Acca including 4 teams very good at home:
Cesena vs Ascoli: Cesena -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 23/20 (Serie B, 1400 KO)
Cesena – 10 wins in 13 home games, with 8 wins by -1 goal or better. Scoring tonnes and conceding few.
Ascoli – 9 losses in 11 away games, scoring in just 3 and two were 3-1 and 4-0 wins. Effectively scored once in a losing game. 24 conceded in those 11 games, but against the better sides it’s normally 3-0.
Cesena win massively expected, and @ 4/6 just for the win that is fantastic value!
Magdeburg vs Bremen II: Magdeburg -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 6/5 (Bundesliga III, 1300 KO)
Magdeburg have come up and done very well. 7 wins in 10 home games, with 4 wins by -1 goal or better. They have the top scorer in the league, and have been beating sides 2/3-0 recently.
Bremen II’s have lost 6 of 10 games away from home, conceding 22 in said 10, and 6 to Hallescher a few weeks back. 7/10 is decent for just the win, but fully expecting a nice 2-0 win.
Valencia vs Sporting Gijon: Valencia -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 5/4 (La Liga, 1500 KO)
Valencia may have drawn 5 home league games in a row, and not won a league game under Neville – but this could be the watershed moment. They are making steady progress in the Copa del Rey, and with Gijon in such a bad vein of form away from home they will not face a better chance!
Gijon have lost 9 of their last 10 away games, including 7 league games in a row. 6 of those have been by -1 or worse, and to add to that Valencia won 4-0 in the same fixture last season.
Feirense vs Farense: Feirense -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 29/20 (Portuguese Segunda, 1600 KO)
Feirense have won 8 of 13 home games, including 4 in their last 5, conceding a grand total of 0 in those 4 wins. Very good at the back, with 10 conceded in 13 games. Not a great deal of these wins have been by -1, but against a team in Farense who have lost 7 of 13 away ganes and several by -1, I believe their weak defence could well leak 2-3 goals against this quality Feirense team and are unlikely to score in my opinion.
Saturday’s double pays 3.7/1 and Sunday’s pays around 4.3/1 which totals a 25/1 accumulator with safety nets should any of them only win by one goal.
Best of luck