League Two was done yesterday – today is League One.
It looks a cracking season in prospect – several ex-Premier League teams that have fallen from grace. Bolton, Sheff Utd, Charlton, Bradford and Coventry…the latter two a long time ago, but a league full of potential winners.
Once again, Sheff Utd are the favourites @ around 5/1, but much like Portsmouth in the league below – the favourite tag means little. There are a couple that I like who are priced 10/1 or above!
Winner – MK Dons @ 12/1
MK Dons are 4th favourites at the moment, with Sheff Utd, Charlton and Millwall ahead of them in terms of odds.
However, with Karl Robinson at the helm, experienced at this level and having got them promoted before – I think they will pack a punch and be a high scoring team. With Dean Bowditch, Simon Church and Nicky Maynard as strikers – mixed with excellent midfielders in Daniel Powell. Ben Reeves and Samir Carruthers and captain Dean Lewington – who has made over 500 apperances for the Dons, they should go into the season with great confidence. They have kept 98% of their squad together – which is a big plus too!
If that is too high, Promotion @ 4/1 and Top 6 @ 6/4 are also great bets!
Promotion – Charlton @ 5/2
Charlton currently have a fairly small squad which I think will be added to. However, they have great quality – both in terms of experienced players at this level, and youth players that are coming through. 5/2 is a great price for this – and here’s why!
Going forward, they have Nicky Ajose (who scored 24 in 38 in League One in 15/16), Lee Novak (14 in 35) and Ricky Holmes (14 in 41 from left wing for Northampton over the last 18 months). They then have Ademola Lookman, Callum Harriott, Harry Lennon and Ahearne-Grant – all impressed in the relegation season and have all been linked with big teams.
In midfield and defence – El Hadji Ba, Alou Diarra, Patrick Bauer (German youth international), Roger Johnson and Johnnie Jackson – who has scored 47 goals in 202 league games. Chris Solly is their key man – a rock at the back, over 200 league games for them over the last half a dozen seasons.
A mix of youth, experience and proven goalscorers at this level. Ricky Holmes is a cracking signing – he only really had half a season and still bagged double figures last season! Lookman and Harriott will be key, while Ajose is an option for the leagues top scorer. I like their chances of getting top 2, if not a playoff place.
Top 6 – MK Dons @ 6/4
Read above – no reason why I don’t see them winning the league, but minimum I’m expecting is a top 6 finish. 6/4 adds plenty to an accumulator!
Relegation – AFC Wimbledon @ 10/3
Although their story is amazing – unless they make further signings to strengthen an average squad I can see them going straight back down. Bar a few players, the vast majority are the ones that brought them up – and with the club likely to be tight in the financial department, loanee’s and free’s are probably the only option.
Most, if not all of the squads around them in the fight for relegation have better quality, and despite the likes of Lyle Taylor being a bright spark – like mentioned I feel the overall quality might not be quite there yet. Not writing them off at all, but at this stage, given their transfer business so far.
At this current point – the standout value is MK Dons, both in terms of winning it @ 12/1, getting promoted @ 4/1 and a top 6 finish @ 6/4.
Coming up tomorrow will be the Championship, where it seems Newcastle are hot favourites to go straight back up!