Nothing on either football or tennis yesterday – with the womens very hard to predict – pretty much all of the top 10 bar Sharapova and Williams went out early and at high odds! The Ashes also start today, but until teams are announced and we know who is batting/bowling first its hard to tell what is a good tip for the day…although I don’t cover that anyway!
I have picked a bet for each of the quarter finals today – all between 1/1 and around 6/4:
1. Murray-Pospisil: Between 28 and 33 games @ 6/4 (NAP)
Murray has dropped sets against his last two opposition – but with Karlovic being such a huge server and Murray getting an injury vs Seppi, it was no real surprise and in the latter case not really his fault. This game should be a little different, with Murray in good form and also having a good record against Pospisil – 3 wins against him since last october without dropping a set (6-1 6-3, 7-5 6-4 and 6-4 6-4) so the theme is Murray always gets a break. Because it is best of 5 sets players do have a wobble – Pospisil’s opponent Troicki was 2 sets up, but still lost – so it can happen. However, I cannot see Murray losing a set, and can at worst see one close set and two 6-4’s/6-3’s. 28 to 33 games looks good to me, with my prediction being something like 7-5, 6-4, 6-3 to Murray.
2. Federer-Simon Over 3.5 Sets @ Evens
Federer has dropped just one set so far, against American Sam Groth who had a serve that reminded me of Andy Roddick. Simon is a very good returner and ground stroke player – so should match Fed’s efforts early on. I’d fancy Simon to win at least a set, as he is in great form. They last faced each other at a Grand Slam in 2011 and 2013 and both ended 3-2 to Federer. Simon dispatched of Tomas Berdych in the last round, 3-0! That is rare as the Czech is a hard opposition! Should be a cracker!
3. Wawrinka-Gasquet Over 43 Games @ 11/10
Wawrinka has won in straight sets all through Wimbledon this year, while Gasquet has dropped a single set against Strop-monster Nick Kyrgios. This should be a lot different, with Gasquet being a much more experienced opponent for Stan Wawrinka this time. The last meeting at a Slam ended 3-2 to Wawrinka in 2013. Wawrinka has been taken to 12 games or more in a set 5 times in 12 sets so far – he often has a tough time breaking serve, which makes me think he will need a few tie breaks against the wiley old Frenchman. Remember if it goes to 5 sets there is no tie break, so there could be upto 60 or 70 games potentially. Fully expecting 2 sets of 12 or more games, and two at around 6-4 ish.
4. Djokovic-Cilic Over 3.5 Sets @ 6/4
Since 2014, these two have met 5 times. Twice at Grand Slam’s, and 3 times on the usual circuit. Cilic has taken at least 1 set off Djok in both Grand Slam meets, and in one of the others as well. Last years Wimbledon saw them playout a 5 set classic, while just before that Djokovic won 3-1 at the Roland Garros. Djokovic has dropped just 2 sets, both to Kevin Anderson in the 5 set thriller that saw him go 2 sets down, while Cilic has dropped 5, with a couple of 3-2’s against the American duo of John Isner and Denis Kudla.
The first two games kick off at 1pm, while the 2nd lot are scheduled for 3pm – however if either of the first two go longer they will be pushed back until later in the day. Together this pays around 20/1 – and my preferred double is Murray-Pospisil and Cilic-Djokovic bets.
Best of luck