Tomorrow and Wednesday see’s the final Capital One Cup fixtures of the year, with the Quarters. We take a look at each game and value markets that we like! There are some interesting ties, and only one All-Premier League match, between Newcastle and Tottenham. Here are our thoughts:
Derby vs Chelsea
Derby are in good form, sitting 3rd in the Championship, a point off the top. Chelsea on the other hand have just suffered their first loss of the season at Newcastle, but still won 2-0 vs Hull Saturday. You may see a weakened side, but Mourinho is a competitive man and will still put a team out more than good enough to win. Derby are a dangerous team, with the likes of Will Hughes and Jordan Ibe in midfield and Simon Dawkins as well as the ever present Chris Martin.
These affairs are usually very tight. With Kurt Zouma likely to start, and Cesc Fabregas returning from suspension – and then you have the likes of Schurrle, Willian, Drogba, Remy and many other young talents, they should win. Chelsea have not lost vs lower league opposition in 16 games since 1999, 14 wins and 2 draws.
Chelsea should take this, 4/7 good odds.
Top Tips: Chelsea Win to Nil @ 6/4 + Chelsea -1 @ 13/10
Sheff Utd vs Southampton
This should be a good game – Southampton are without Graziano Pelle, and Morgan Schneiderlin is doubtful. A few youngsters could get a chance, but expect the likes of Shane Long and Sadio Mane to start, as Ronald Koeman is a man who likes a cup run. Romanian defender Florin Gardos could feature, while the majority of the back five should be the same as usual. James Ward-Prowse is also another who should feature.
Sheff Utd have a few players returning, and Paddy McCarthy cup tied. They should not be underestimated – they beat West Ham in August and beat Aston Villa and Fulham last season on their way to the FA Cup Semi’s. Southampton are in a poor run and will want to put things right, so we are expecting a strong lineup. Sheff Utd have a great cup record in three comps under their current manager, winning 13 out of 17, losing just two.
Expecting Southampton to come good in the end. 8/15 great value.
Top Tips: Southampton Win + BTTS @ 13/5 + HT-FT @ 6/5
Tottenham vs Newcastle
When these two met, Newcastle scored within 10 seconds of the 2nd half re-start, and won 2-1 thanks to Sammy Ameobi and Ayoze Perez. Spurs will have played three games in 10 days, so we may see a different 11, with the likes of Stambouli, Ben Davies and Eric Dier.
Newcastle have injury problems of their own – Jak Alnwick is the only senior keeper, and the news is Freddie Woodman, an England under 17’s keeper, could start. They have options at the back, though Daryl Janmaat could miss the game through suspension (if I am correct), meaning there is no senior right back, so someone like Steven Taylor or even Massadio Haidara could play there, possibly even Lubomir Satka, a youth team defender yet to make his debut. Moussa Sissoko returns, Jack Colback, Ayoze Perez and Sammy Ameobi should feature too. Should be a cracker!
Spurs to Qualify is my initial thought – should overpower a weakened Newcastle side @ 17/20.
Top Tips: Over 3.5 Goals @ 21/10 + BTTS First Half @ 18/5
Bournemouth vs Liverpool
Bournemouth are top of the league, and high in confidence. Liverpool are the complete opposite, and with an extra days’ rest – Bournemouth should have confidence. Although we have put Liverpool in our Midweek Challenge, that’s on the premise they put out a good team. The likes of Emre Can and Dejan Lovren should feature, maybe even Fabio Borini, since Rickie Lambert and Mario Balotelli are useless.
Bournemouth To Qualify looks interesting @ 13/8, maybe even to Win in Extra Time @ 14/1 (same price for penalties).
Top Tips: BTTS 2nd Half @ 9/4 + Bournemouth To Qualify @ 13/8
We are going to do a mix of doubles and Accas…Cup footie is very risky so low stakes are advised:
1. Chelsea Win to Nil @ 6/4 + Southampton Win + BTTS @ 13/5 – 8/1
2. Newcastle-Spurs BTTS 1st Half @ 18/5 + Liverpool-B’mouth BTTS 2nd Half @ 9/4 – 14/1
3. Chelsea Win/Southampton Win/Tottenham Win/Liverpool-B’mouth Draw – 14.6/1
Cup games at this level are often tight, bar Chelsea I cannot envisage the games being more than a goal apart.
Anyway, best of luck – any questions please give us a shout!