Final group games coming up – and it is often full of shocks, so not worth putting too much money on. Arsenal have drifted from 21/20 to 8/5 vs Galatasaray, Man City are out to 17/10 from 13/10. Liverpool are favourites against Basel, but I would not back them….defensively awful, Basel are a good side and Win or Draw @ Evens is a lovely price!
Be careful of teams who have already qualified, unless they are playing another side already through, as coming 1st in the group makes life easier going into the latter rounds, so Barca vs PSG, Shakhtar vs Porto and Juve vs At Madrid should all be crackers!
Here are our thoughts on all games this week:
Benfica vs Leverkusen: The German side have already qualified, and the Portuguese Champions are out, but like mentioned teams like to finish top, and with Monaco or Zenit having that chance, Bayer need a win. 5/4 a cracking price, Over 1.5 Team Goals nicely priced @ 6/5.
Monaco vs Zenit: In all 5 games so far this CL, no Monaco game has had more than 1 goal! All either 1-0, or 0-0. Under 1.5 Goals is 7/4, another top pick!
Dortmund vs Anderlecht: Dortmund are fighting Arsenal for the top spot, so don’t expect any let up from Klopp’s men. -1 is a good bet @ 7/10, Race to 3 Goals @ Evens is also a good bet, since they scored 3 goals away at Anderlecht earlier this season.
Galatasaray vs Arsenal: I would not like to pick one of these, especially with Arsenal’s struggles. BTTS is probably a given @ 8/15, but Over 3.5 Goals @ 7/4 has caught my eye.
Juventus vs At Madrid: Madrid have conceded in just one game so far, a 3-2 loss to Olymiakos. Juve have in 3 games, with two losses and a 3-2 win. With both qualified (all but…Juve are 95% there), I would have to fancy At Madrid @ 5/2.
Olympiakos vs Malmo: The Greek champions lost 2-0 to Malmo last time, but need a big win this time to have any chance of getting through. 2/5 a decent price, maybe Win + BTTS @ 12/5 a decent bet.
Liverpool vs Basel: Like said, would not back Liverpool in their form. Basel Win or Draw @ Evens, or Even Win @ 19/5 better options than backing Liverpool!
R Madrid vs Ludogorets – Real already qualified, and Ludogorets have a chance of getting into the Europa League. Would expect a big Real win, but they will field kids, and fringe players. Ludo +3 Goals @ 17/20 looks a good bet, as does BTTS @ 21/20 since they have scored in 4 of 5 games so far.
Bayern vs CSKA: Bayern already through, would avoid as fringe players could appear. CSKA still with a mathematical chance.
Roma vs Man City: This game decides who goes through with Bayern. BTTS @ 4/7 a good bet, since 4/5 City games have gone this way, as well as 4/5 of Roma’s. No Aguero for City, iffy defence sometimes. Would back Roma, but it will not be in any tips.
Ajax vs APOEL: Neither have won a game yet, one point between them – the winner gets a EL spot (or an Ajax draw), another I’m not going to touch. Under 2.5 goals would be a pick @ Evens.
Barcelona vs PSG: Barcelona have failed to beat PSG in 3 attempts over the past 2 seasons, so for this reason I am going with PSG or Draw @ 8/5, and maybe a cheeky 6/1 for the win too.
Chelsea vs Sporting: Chelsea are through and guaranteed top spot. A weakened team could appear. Schalke and Sporting need points to make it through, so another I would stay away from.
Maribor vs Schalke: Maribor are in very good form, and even took a point against Chelsea. Schalke should have too much for them, with the likes of Draxler and Huntelaar to name but a few. 4/5 a good price for the win, Evens for Over 1.5 Team goals another pick of mine.
At Bilbao vs BATE: Both vying for a Europa place, BATE won 2-1 last time. Fancy them again this time, Win or Draw @ 5/2, or Win @ 10/1 (risky, very risky)…
Porto vs Shakhtar: Two going for top spot, should be a good game. Porto came from 2-0 down to draw in the final minutes last time. Over 3.5 @ 11/4 looks good but what looks better is over 2.5 @ Evens! Fancy Shakhtar to go one better this win, DNB @ 9/4, win @ 4/1.
Tips will be up shortly…