Last weekend we managed 13/20 on these selections, with 7 wins and 6 second market wins, with a 5/1 winning Acca. Some nicely priced wins between Evens and 17/10. This weekend is a little safer – mainly Evens and Under with some Evens to 2/1 second market tips:
1. Valladolid Win @ 4/6 + -1 Goal @ 17/10 vs Lugo (9/10) (Home)
Valladolid have won 4/5 overall, and 4/5 at home in recent times. In great form, putting plenty of goals past teams. Lugo have drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 5 games overall, and lost 4/5 away from home, which is where they are playing this weekend. -1 is our 2nd market on this one. All four wins from Valladolid in their last 5 have been -1 or better. 17/10 a great price if you want something or more value.
2. Sporting Lisbon Win @ 1/2 + Win to Nil @ 5/4 vs Arouca (9/10) (Away)
Lisbon have won 5 of their last 5 overall, and 4/5 away from home. Around have lost 3/5 at home, and 3/5 overall, with several of those to nil, which is our second market. 3 of Lisbon’s 4 away wins recently have been to nil. Arouca lost to Penafiel, who are awful. Lisbon in good form so should do well.
3. Juventus Win @ 6/10 + HT-FT @ 11/10 vs Udinese (9/10) (Away)
Juventus, well, are Juventus. Best side in the league by some distance. Won 4/5 both away from home and overall. Udinese strangely are better away from home than at home. Lost 1 from 5 overall, but 3/5 at home. 2nd market is HT-FT @ 11/10 – 10 of Juve’s 20 wins have been HT-FT. They tend to start well, and then play it about a little.
4. Marseille Win @ 1/2 + HT-FT @ 7/5 vs Evian (8/10) (Home)
Marseille’s overall form is not brilliant, but at home they are very good. 2/5 overall wins, and 5/5 at home. Evian have lost 4/5 away from home, and 3/5 overall. HT-FT is the 2nd market – 3 from the last 5 wins have been so, and 8 from 22 this season. Most of Evian’s away games they have been trailing at HT and gone on to lose. 7/11!
5. Guimaraes Win @ Evens + 2 or More Goals @ 6/5 (8/10) (Away)
Guimaraes are in a patch of indifferent form, but Penafiel are god damn awful. Guimaraes have won 2/5 both away from home and overall, but Penafiel have lost 3/5 overall, and 4/5 at home. 2nd market is 2+ Goals for the team we are backing – which they should do against such a poor side.
6. Standard Liege Win @ 5/6 + -1 Goal @ 7/4 vs Lierse (7/10) (Away)
Liege have found some form after the loss in the summer of Ezekiel and Batshuayi. They have won 3/5 both away and overall, and play a Lierse side who have taken some batterings recently, including 2 6-0 losses and a 3-0 loss. Liege have won their last few games by -1, and have won 3 of the last 4 games vs Lierse 3-0, 3-0 and 5-0. Lierse have lost 3/5 overall, and lost 2 and drawn 3 at home.
7. Derby Win @ 23/20 + 2 or more Goals @ 5/4 vs Cardiff (7/10) (Away)
Derby are in good form, winning 3/5 away from home and 4/5 overall. They face Cardiff who are pretty average both at home and overall. 2nd market is Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 5/4 – expect them to score a couple with a dangerous attack that they posses.
8. Preston Win @ 8/13 + HT-FT @ 6/4 vs Crawley (9/10) (Away)
Preston’s overall form is pretty average, with a lot of draws. Just 1 wins in 5, but 3 in 5 wins away from home. Crawley are really awful, lost 3/4-0 to Chesterfield in midweek. Drawn 4 and lost 1 overall but lost 3/5 at home. 2nd market is HT-FT, which has happened in 9/13 games won for Preston, and Crawley have been behind at HT in 10 of their 13 losses this season. So have records which support this tip!
9. Burton Win @ 13/10 + Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 11/8 vs Bury (8/10) (Home)
Burton have won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 games overall, and won 5/5 at home. Bury are decent overall with 3 wins from 5, but 3 losses from 5 away games. We also fancy 2+ Goals for Burton, who usually bag a couple at home. Tempted by HT-FT @ 11/4 but risky!
10. Bristol Rovers Win @ 7/10 + HT-FT @ 7/5 vs Dartford (9/10) (Away)
Rovers are in decent nick. Won 3/5 away from home, and won 2/drawn 3 overall. Dartford are probably in the worst form in the country. Lost 4/5 at home, and 5/5 overall. 2nd market again is HT-FT @ 7/5 – and in 9/15 wins this season Bristol have been ahead. In 11/17 losses, Dartford have been behind at HT, and gone on to lose. Basically, if they are losing at HT, they lose full stop.
Tips are coming up in a few hours, as well as a preview for the South American action this weekend, as well as an Accumulator from that preview! Goalscorer Tips should be up by 12 from Jamie too!