Football Tips // 03.11.15


Morning all

A mixed day yesterday – with the NAP flopping to a 0-0 draw, despite those two being among the best for over 2.5 goals in the Danish league, while the Romanian BTTS game winning @ 1/1, with the score ending 5-1 to Viitorul, while Bucharest had a man sent off. Both Tottenham bets mentioned won, -1 @ 11/10 as well as Kane A/T + Spurs win @ 5/4 – so gutted not to have actually tipped those!

Two bets for today – but will post an accumulator later to get an acca going for the next two days:

1. Middlesbrough -1 Goal Handicap @ 21/20 vs Rotherham (1945 KO – NAP)

Boro are in astounding home form – 8 games at the Riverside this season, 6 wins (1 draw and 1 loss) but all 6 wins have been by -1 goal, and with 17 scored and just 2 conceded, I have great confidence in this bet, especially against Rotherham. They are bottom of the league, have lost multiple games by a 1 goal handicap, conceding on average 2 per game. They have also lost 5 of their 7 away games.

2. Atletico Madrid -2 Corner Handicap @ 11/8 vs Astana (1500 KO)

This is the early kick off in the Champions League, and with a great corners record recently this looks good value – in their last 10 games, Simeone’s men have won on corners by scorelines of 5-1, 9-2 (Valencia), 10-2 (vs Astana), 5-1 (Real Madrid), 12-1 (Benfica), 5-1 (Villarreal) as well as 6-1 and 4-1 vs other La Liga teams. They had two losses to Sociedad and Galatasaray, but generally had off games. They should dominate this game, and for me win quite comfortably, so if you cannot get any corner markets with your bookies, Score Both Halves @ 10/11 is just as good.

3. Burnley-Fulham BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (1945 KO)

This is a late add – around 8.40am.

Burnley have had 5 BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals in 5 of their 7 home games this season, while Fulham have had 5/7 in their away league games this season so far. Fulham have had just 4 games in 14 league go under 2.5 goals in general, and have a good looking attack but suspect defence. Burnley are scoring plenty at home, but do let one in most games.

4. Wolfsburg Win @ 7/5 vs PSV (1945 KO)

Another late add – there was so little value tomorrow I felt today had to be the ‘Acca’ day.

Wolfsburg won this with ease last time out, 2-0 and sailing. With their great record. I fancy them to win again today. PSV are very suspect at the back, conceding 3 to the worst team in the Eredivisie on the weekend, while Wolfsburg are strong in all areas. The loss of De Bruyne has not hit them too hard, with Draxler or Schurrle ending up on the bench most games which signals their strength. Dost is an imposing centre forward who does not get beaten in the air, while the back four is pretty impressive.

This bet pays 25/1 (Corner market is with Bet 365) and would be excellent singles as well. My double would be the Championship pair @ 3.5/1, as the Champions League can be very unpredictable.

Best of luck