Football Tips // 05.05.16


Due to tomorrow’s duo of games being extremely early kick off’s – I have decided to post now, before either of today’s South American games have kicked off.

For Thursday – a surprisingly good value double – the one day of the week that football tends to be sparse, as does value:

Rovaniemi vs Lahti: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 7/5 (Finnish Veikkausliiga, 1200 KO)

It’s pretty early in the season in Finland, but goals are already flying around for at least one of these teams. In Rovaniemi’s 5 games, they have scored 9 and conceded 7. 3 of the 5 have won in this market, with a 4-3 scoreline in one of their last couple. Lahti have only played 4, but have scored 7 and conceded 5. A couple of 1-1’s, and a 4-0 win make up for the majority of those.

Their head-to-head has been decent – the last four have ended 4-1, 2-1, 2-1 and 4-3.

Akzhayik Uralsk vs Aktobe: Aktobe Win @ 6/5 (Kazakhstani Premier League, 1300 KO)

This looks fantastic value! They met on the 29th of April and Aktobe won 5-0 in the cup.

It’s the home sides first season back after a season in the 2nd tier of Kazakh football, and so far they have lost 6 of 8 games which tells a story in itself. They haven’t conceded that many, but have only scored 3 which is a deciding factor. Funnily enough Aktobe have conceded 12, but had a poor first game or two and have recovered well, with 3 wins in their last 5.

Given the result less than a week ago, I think Aktobe will continue their recovery. This price should drop to below evens before kickoff given how generous!

As a double, this pays around the 4.3/1 mark.

Best of luck