Another case of the NAP landing but the 2nd tip failing. Rangers had 25 shots, 80% possession and 18 corners but could muster just one measly goal! In the NAP, BTTS landed in the Atletico-Barca game, with Madrid taking the lead before Fernando Torres was sent off and then Barca came roaring back to win 2-1.
Another duo of tips today – both looking decent value:
Ferencvaros vs Paks: Ferencvaros -1.5 Goal Asian Handicap @ 1/1 (Hungarian NBI, 1700 KO – NAP)
This price has taken a battering over the last 12 hours since I looked at it – the price was around 6/4, and the match price was 6/11, but like mentioned, seems to have taken a battering! Regular handicaps are not priced yet, but this is practically the same thing. A -1 Asian Handicap would mean a 1 goal win would be refunded – no safety net with this, but I expect the leaders to win and win well.
Ferencvaros are brilliant at home – winning 11/13, and scoring plenty. Paks are actually around mid-table, but their away form is awful, losing 7/13, and 4 in a row. The home side have won the last four meetings, and this season’s two by scorelines of 5-0 and 2-0.
Wolfsburg vs Real Madrid: Real Madrid Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/5 (Champions League, 1945 KO)
This was the 2nd part of the European accumulator – and for me is a good bet. Real Madrid excellent going forward, with potential to score endless goals with Bale, Benzema and Ronaldo. Defensively, often questionable – and with Wolfsburg losing just 3 of their last 20 home games (to only Bayern twice and Dortmund) you can see they are a strong outfit. It wouldn’t surprise me if this was a 4-5 goal game!
Win + BTTS would be a risky option, but with every chance Real Madrid could put 3-4 past them and win to nil, I’m going with a slightly safer option of Win + Over 2.5 for the Madrid giants.
A simple double pays around 3.5/1, while I am very hopeful of a 3rd NAP in a row!
With Bet365 doing their risk free matched in-play offer, I will post my way of making guaranteed profit a little later on this morning so be sure to check back in for that.
Best of luck