Very close to 2/2 last night – Roma couldn’t quite find a winning goal, while Fiorentina won 2-1. Kicking myself as Shakhtar were 3/1 to win against Braga, and with them winning the group they still rotated but won 4-2 in a cracking game – should have seen it!
Very tough set of games tonight – hard to find good value that has a very good chance of coming in – found a couple of games I like though:
Achilles vs Volendam: Volendam -1 Goal Handicap @ 21/20 (Dutch Erste, 1900 KO)
Achilles are lounging at the bottom of the table, and bar a win and two draws, have lost the other 14 – and conceded well over 30! Volendam are a decent, upper-mid table side that should be winning these sort of games, and given their high scoring nature and Achilles high conceding nature, it should be an easy win for me. They had a similar challenge in Sittard last weekend and won 3-0, so I’m thinking something around the same scoreline.
Pogon Szczecin vs Zaglebie: Over 2.5 Goals @ 43/40 (Polish Ekstraklasa, 1700 KO)
These two have good goal ratio’s when it comes to over 2.5’s – both average in excess of 3 goals per game, home for Szczecin, away for Zaglebie – and with both around the 50% mark for this season, it has a good chance. The home side have won 5 on the spin, including games against Legia (3-2), while Zaglebie have had 5 BTTS + Over 2.5’s in their last 6 games away from home.
The double pays around the 3.5/1 mark.
Best of luck