A enraging day yesterday – Christian Gytkjaer missed a hatful of chances, then was subbed only for Rosenborg to score two in the last 5 minutes, and then in the Chelsea game – only a outrageous decision from the referee to allow Swansea’s 2nd goal to stand was the different between a win and a loss in all reality since Chelsea were the better side and would have scored another in my opinion.
Still, a 30/1 win over the weekend and backed up with a 6/1 treble from Cathal in the first weekend of NFL tips! Now to Monday – a decent selection of games:
Gefle vs BK Hacken: Hacken -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 7/5 (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1800 KO – NAP)
Gefle are to the Swedish league, what Villa were last season in the Premier League. They are all but relegated already, baring a miracle. Hacken are a decent mid-table side who often take points from the top teams – and in their last two games with Gefle have won 4-0 and 6-1.
With Rene Makondele, Demba Savage and new signing Alhassan Kamara, who had a brilliant record at Orebro before a season out with injury – they should have enough firepower to get passed an improving Gefle, who despite a recent pickup in form – are still 2nd bottom and over 7 points from safety with not long left.
Rovaniemi vs SJK: Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 (Finnish Veikkausliiga, 1630 KO)
This is a game in a league which usually provides very few goals, but one that has a history of very high scoring games. Rovaniemi are very good at home, winning their six and conceding one, but racking up 14 goals – impressively being 14 of the 19 they have scored at home this season. That stat does give weight to the fact that they are vulnerable.
In SJK’s 12 away games, 8 have gone over 2.5 goals, while there have been 31 goals – 11 scored, 20 conceded. They have the wood over the home side so far this season, so that could be something that mentally affects both sides.
Between the two – their three meetings in the 2016 season have ended as 2-1, 3-1 and 3-2 wins for SJK – but given current form, this one should go to the home side, but I still expect plenty of goals. Bet365 were not offering a BTTS + Over 2.5 price, but if it is available I’d take it as it will be well over 6/4 in my opinion!
Together, this pays around the 4.3/1 mark. If you want to make this around 10/1, Everton Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 11/10, or even the Win @ 1/1 – is a good 3rd bet.
Best of luck!