Yesterday finally went very much to plan, with Sparta Prague scoring a late goal giving them a 2-0 win, and us the first part of a 4/1 handicap double @ 13/10. Spurs then beat Villa 2-0 @ 5/4 thanks to a Harry Kane double – winning the 4/1 double. This after a constant streak of bad luck, red cards and teams just not turning up!
Today – just another two games I am almost certain will win:
Austria Lustenau vs LASK Linz: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 21/20 (Austrian Erste Liga, 1730 KO)
I am surprised Bet365 haven’t put this to BTTS + Over 3.5, such is the likelyhood of this happening. The last time this game finished with this bet not landing was 2012 – in the 8 games since 5 have finished 2-1, and the rest even more of a high scoring contest. Lustenau are in good form, BTTS wise 12 of their last 13 games – with Over 2.5 added in 9 of those. Linz are not amazing away from home, but have had a few 2-2’s and 3-3’s of late, and BTTS + Over 2.5 in 8 of their last 13 matches.
Excellent price for me, with the Austrian Erste usually getting pushed to the 3.5 line. These are two sides vying for promotion, so it should be a good game!
VVV Venlo vs RKC Waalwijk: VVV -2 Goal Asian Handicap @ 6/5 (Dutch Erste, 1900 KO)
2nd vs bottom, and two sides in contrasting form.
VVV have scored 3+ in 7 of their last 8 home games, and winning by this handicap on 5 occasions. They have won 4 games 3-0, and another 4-0. They don’t concede many, and score a lot. They have the league’s top scorer in their ranks (Seuntjens, with 23) and face a team who resorted to replacing mascots when the players walk out with local models, fair play to them!
RKC have conceded 32 in 14 away games, but of late have been conceding 3’s and 4’s, sometimes more. Average teams are battering them. In their last 10 away games, they have lost 8 and conceded 1 (thrice), 3 (thrice) and then 5 and 6 once each, scoring in barely any. I think VVV will comfortably score 3-4 goals and not concede. A 2 goal win would make this void (2-0, 3-1 etc) so 3-0, 5-2 etc is needed. Hopefully this shouldn’t be a problem.
As a double, that would pay around 3.5/1.
With Cheltenham Festival kicking off tomorrow, James White has returned for the biggie and has posted this preview, while will also be posting tips each day. He has a 53% win record over the last two years, with 14/28 and 15/28, with many of the non-winners placing at good prices. He picked last years winner of the Gold Cup in Coneygree, so it’s good to have him back!
Best of luck