Football Tips // 15.05.16


Another very close day today – the Danish game won, BTTS + Over 2.5 coming in @ 13/10 with it ending 3-2, while the 2nd game was 1-1 at half time, and the 3rd goal came 4 minutes into extra time, so frustratingly failed in the same market.

I have found a similar double for today that I believe is fantastic value!

Norrkoping vs Sundsvall: BTTS + Over 2.5  Goals @ 1/1 (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1400 KO)

Norrkoping have started their defence of the title they won last year well – 20 goals scored and they sit top of the league. A surprise package so far this season have been Sundsvall – sitting in 3rd place and impressing. Norrkoping have had 6 BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals in their 8 games so far, while Sundsvall have 4 in their 8 games but 7 have finished BTTS. Norrkoping are really threatening on the attack and I believe they will win, but are fragile at the back, at times – seemingly always conceding one. 1/1 is a very good price, especially in Sweden where the prices for the market are usually sub-evens.

Club Brugge vs Anderlecht: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (Belgian Pro League, 1330 KO)

Brugge have a fantastic home record of late. They have won 8 of their last 10 in all competitions and despite only 3 BTTS + Over 2.5’s, they face the 2nd placed team in the league who have a whopping 7 BTTS + Over 2.5’s in their last 10 away games. Before Anderlecht’s 1-0 win over Brugge last month, the previous 8 games in a row won in this market – and with the season coming to it’s end in a few weeks, a win for both is vital. Brugge would go 6 points clear if they win, while Anderlecht would be tied for top spot with Brugge should they win.

As with yesterday’s games – an early goal is key. It draws the other team into going for it a bit more, and usually it helps with these sort of bets if the away team scores first – which happened in one of Saturday’s games – though both away teams scored in the first half.

The double pays 3/1, and with 8 wins from 12 this week the win ratio is looking to be around 65% – two wins today would take it nearer the 70% mark – with hopefully the 3rd double win of the week. I’ve hit at least 1/2 on each of the 6 days so far, with 3 of the 4 losing tips being unbelievably unlucky. BTTS + Over 2.5 seems to be the market I like at the moment, with goals being easier to predict than wins.

Best of luck