Football Tips // 17.01.16


Morning all

0/1 yesterday for me, with one of my two picks voided. Statistically the best BTTS + Over 2.5 goals tip there was yesterday, and if you seen the stats you will be scratching your head as am I! Crawley absolutely annihilated Notts County yet came out on the wrong side of a 1-0 loss. On another day  they would have scored about 6 with the chances they had!

Sticking with the double for today:

Casertana vs Catanzaro: Casertana -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 23/20 (Italian Lega Pro – Group C, 1630 KO)

For me, you have to have a list of trustable teams. Casertana have been that this season!

8 wins in 9 home games, and 6 wins by -1 or more. They have beaten Catanzaro in 3/3 meetings over the last season and a bit.

The team they play are a mid-table side. 5 losses in 10 away games this season, four of which were by -1 goal.

Porto B vs Santa Clara: Porto B -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 21/20 (Portuguese Segunda, 1500 KO)

Porto B are amazing at home. Since a defeat on the opening day, they have won 9 and drawn 1 of 10 home games since – scoring 33 goals, and at least 2 in all but one. Over 1.5 Team Goals is priced at 4/5, so for those who want a safer bet, that would be it. 6 of those 9 wins have been by -1 goal or better – they don’t have the best back four, but score so many it’s irrelevant at times.

Santa Clara have lost 7 of their last 8 games away from home, scoring just 2 goals and taking one point in a 1-1 draw. 3 of the 7 have been by -1 goal (2-0 losses), the rest were 1-0 losses. They can’t seem to score many . Probably the best bet of the weekend!

That pays 3.5/1 with 365! Add in Cordoba @ 2/1 to pretty much treble it…

Best of luck