3 winning tips from four yesterday, and the most baffling game (Salzburg vs Dinamo) where there were over 30 shots, yet the game ended 1-1. One goal off 4.5/1 and 20/1 double winners…
Very little value about today – but two games that I feel are good bets are the following:
Villarreal vs Monaco: BTTS @ 6/5 (Champions League Qualifying, 1945 KO)
Tomorrow’s only game I can see good value and a good chance of winning is this one – BTTS between two sides that are offensively decent, and defensively questionable, since both have lost key members of their back four.
I have no doubt over the prowess of both, but in the case of Monaco – multiple South Americans in the back four always sets alarm bells ringing – they usually have a tendency to make a howler or two, and try to play it out once too often. They conceded two in their opening game against one of Ligue 1’s poorer teams – but came back to draw 2-2 thanks to their offensive power. Falcao, Moutinho, Lemar, Carillo and Silva – 5 players that are unplayable at times.
Villarreal also lost key players – Denis Suarez to Barcelona, Eric Bailly to Man Utd…But they have signed well. Nicola Sansone from Sassuolo, Alex Pato from Corinthians, Denis Cheryshev from Real Madrid, Roberto Soriano from Sampdoria. Four very good signings! More than making up for what they lost. Add in class acts such as Trigueros, Castillejo, Musacchio and Victor Ruiz – they have the makings of a Champions League quality side!
BTTS is the value to me @ 11/10 – even with Villarreal’s strong back four I struggle seeing them keep Monaco at bay.
Gyirmot vs Ferencvaros: Ferencvaros Score Both Halves @ 1/1 (Hungarian OTP Bank Liga, 1800 KO)
Gyirmot have just been promoted and have taken a few beatings thus far. Five games down, 13 goals conceded – 11 against the likes of Videoton and Debrecen, who aren’t as good as Ferencvaros. Between Sestak, Djuricin and Bode – they have more than enough firepower to blast past a very poor defence. Add in Lovrensics and Roland Varga on the wings, and they have a team that is capable of battering anyone.
To score in both halves is the best bet for me, even at 2/7 on to win
The double pays around 3.5/1
Best of luck for the day!