After another day off, I return for Friday with a good priced double. The last day’s tips ended 1/1, with Cheltenham postponed, and Juventus winning 1-0 – so should you have backed it, it paid out at 6/4. Today as mentioned, just two games again – but will suggest an extra couple to boost the price:
Metz vs Creteil: Metz -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 5/4 (Ligue 2, 1900 KO)
Metz are in decent form at home – 5 wins from 11, with 3 draws/losses apiece. Not in the form I’d hoped, but they play Creteil who are on a run of 4 consecutive losses away from home and a run of 2 draws and 8 losses in their last 10 games, conceding often eye-watering levels of goals! They hammered Bourg Peronnas 5-0 a few weeks back, and I’m half expecting something similar in this one.
Benfica B vs Atletico CP: Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 (Portuguese Segunda, 1900 KO)
Bet 365 have this listed as a Saturday game, but William Hill have it as a Friday game. WH are more reliable for me, and Flashscores are too.
Anyway – CP have one of the worst records in the league for this market, while Benfica have one of the best. However the swinging factor for me is in the last 5 meets, the scores have been 3-2, 3-2, 2-2, 1-0 and 3-2. Benfica have had 7 in their last 10 games, conceding 3 or more on 4 occasions, while Atletico have had 3 in their last 4 away games – picking it up a bit of late. Not as statistically strong as normal, but both have previous for highscoring games against each other, so we will see!
VVV Over 2.5 Team Goals @ 5/4 and Sparta Rotterdam Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 8/11 were two others I quite liked – with the former scoring 3+ in most of their recent games, and the latter in awesome form, with an impressive win streak. Those two take it to 20/1 if you would like something a little bigger. Otherwise it pays 4.2/1.
Best of luck