Another close one yesterday, with the Turkish game ending 2-1, and winning @ 1/1 – but AIK only won 1-0 against bottom of the table Gefle, so the double fell just short.
With there being very little on today – I have a two doubles, with a lower risk and higher risk:
Petrolul vs Concordia: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 (Romanian Liga I, 1830 KO)
This is a bit of a dead rubber, but Concordia need a point to secure top flight football next season, while Petrolul are dead and buried, but have improved of late. Games between these two always result in goals – the last 5 being 1-1, 1-1, 2-2, 3-2 and 2-2. Petrolul have been good at home of late, scoring most games and also conceding plenty. Concordia are hit and miss, but again score more often than not and concede an unhealthy amount.
The heat is now off Petrolul, and with nothing to play for I think they have been going for it a bit more. Concordia are in decent form so should be confident – so for the 1st part of the 21/1 double – I like Concordia Win + BTTS @ 3/1
Cesena vs Spezia: Cesena Win @ 11/8 (Serie B Playoffs, 1930 KO)
Cesena won this meet a few months ago 5-1 at home, and with home form being amazing most the season, against a Spezia team embroiled in what was a 100% fixed draw in their last game to secure a playoff spot – I think the better team will win here. There is often a good amount of goals between them, with a 1-1 draw the other result between them this season.
With 8 wins in their last 10 home – I have great confidence they will do the job. Spezia though won 5 of their last 10 away, and despite 3 0-0 draws I think they will come out to win this. 2nd part of the 21/1 double is Cesena Win + BTTS @ 9/2.
Lower priced double pays 4.3/1, while the other pays 21/1 as mentioned.
Best of luck