Football Tips // 29.05.16


As I type this, the first of today’s tips is in – Malmo winning 4-1, with the win priced @ 6/5 when it kicked off. With such little football this week – just 6 or 8 tips, I’ve come up with a 30/1 accumulator to try and end a bland week with a bang!

At this stage of the season, it’s all about opinion rather than purely statistics. Obviously in Scandinavia the season is young, so stats are a little more useful. Anyway – 4 BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals tips – equally a 30/1 bet:

Barnsley vs Millwall: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 6/4 (League One Playoff, 1500 KO)

Both of these have been in higher divisions previously, and both are in good form – hence why they are in the final. Both previous meetings this season ended 3-2 and 2-1. Millwall have had 5 BTTS + Over 2.5 in their last 8 games, while Barnsley have had 6 in their last 10. Both have had a few in that period where they have won 3/4-0, but in general both in very good nic, and should both be going all-out for the victory.

KuPS vs HJK Helsini: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/8 (Finnish Veikkausliga, 1630 KO)

Again, two teams in fine form and scoring for fun. HJK however are conceding in most games, and with both high on confidence it should be a good game. HJK have won, and both teams scored in 5 straight games, while KuPS have kept 5 consecutive clean sheets – winning four. Recent meets have been fairly even, and at least BTTS in most games, if not more. Several have ended 2-2, while in the last 7, 5 have ended BTTS and 4 BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals.

Helsingborg vs Goteborg: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 1/1 (Swedish Allsvenskan, 1800 KO)

A battle of two high scoring teams – Goteborg nowhere near as reliable in defence as last season, while Helsingborg – under Henrik Larsson – look a dangerous team on the attack, but still massive questions at the back. Looking at their form in this market – including cup games, 5 BTTS + Over 2.5 in 7, with the two that did not go over 2.5 both ending BTTS. Goteborg are pretty unreliable away – in their 5 league games they have drawn 3-3, lost 3-2 and beaten bottom side Gefle 6-2 (2 of just 7 they have scored!). Last seasons two games ended 3-1 and 2-1 to Goteborg, but with them being rather inconsistent – Helsingborg will fancy their chances.

Zaragoza vs Oviedo: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 11/8 (Spanish Segunda, 1900 KO)

The final game in today’s accumulator comes from the Spanish 2nd tier. Zaragoza currently occupy the final playoff spot, while Oviedo had one but have hit poor form in the last month and seem to have blown their chance of a dream return to La Liga. Two points separate them, and Oviedo will know a win is a must with just 2 games left. Zaragoza will also know a win will give them a fantastic chance of going into the final game with just a point needed.

For these reasons I think it will be a good game – Zaragoza have had a total of 49 goals in 20 home games (29 scored, 20 conceded) while Oviedo have had 48 goals in 20 away (20 scored, 28 conceded). Oviedo also won 1-0 in their last meeting, so all in all – a lot to play for!

My favoured double from these would be the Helsingborg game, as well as the Millwall-Barnsley game @ 4/1.

Best of luck