A good day overall yesterday – 3/1 and 15/4 winners in the First Goalscorer category, with Sanchez and Aguero both bagging first. 2/3 on the daily tips, with Arsenal -1 and Northampton/Bury BTTS + Over 2.5 both landing, while on the 25/1, 4/6.
Not a great deal about today – but 3 games I think represent value:
Presov vs Zilina: Zilina -1 Goal Handicap @ 11/8 (Slovakian Fortuna Liga, 1630 KO)
Zilina are in a seriously amazing patch of form. 11 wins from 13 this season, and scoring a tonne of goals. Look at their last 15, and you will see 13 wins, a loss and one game that they won in extra time in the cup. Presov are not in such a spell, but are improving. They lost 4-0 against Zilina last time, and with 7 losses so far this season, they could be facing another heavy loss.
Nice vs Nantes: Nice Win @ 11/10 (French Ligue 1, 1400 KO)
Nice, despite losing Hatem Ben Arfa – are actually better than last season. They sit top after 10 games, with Mario Balotelli one reason, but Alassane Plea the main one – he has 6, while Super Mario has 5. All in all, 20 scored, and only 7 conceded. They face a defensively sturdy Nantes side who have conceded just 11 in their opening 10, but with the force of Plea and Balo, they could end up losing.
Ahlen vs FC Köln II: Köln Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 2/1 (German Regionalliga West, 1330 KO)
Ahlen are in awful form – 10 losses in a row and at least 2 goals per game in each. They do score the odd goal, but usually there are 3 or more goals in a lot of their games. Koln on the other hand are in the bottom 6-8, but mainly because they have played 2 games less than others – but, have won 5 of their 6 away games – scoring over 20 goals in total this season. Against a team with a weak back four, I can see them scoring 2-3 goals but also conceding!
Zilina are the best value there, 11/8 is incredible! Together in a treble, this pays over 10/1.