A mixed bag yesterday with Cesena beating 9-man Ascoli 3-0, Spurs beating Colchester 4-1 but then Magdeburg blew their safety net and lost a 1-0 lead in the 89th minute, while the other suggested bet in Carrarese ended 1-0 to Savona after the home side got an early red card which affected the outcome.
Same double for today – and a 38/1 Win + BTTS bet:
Valencia vs Sporting Gijon: Valencia -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 5/4 (La Liga, 1500 KO)
Valencia may have drawn 5 home league games in a row, and not won a league game under Neville – but this could be the watershed moment. They are making steady progress in the Copa del Rey, and with Gijon in such a bad vein of form away from home they will not face a better chance!
Gijon have lost 9 of their last 10 away games, including 7 league games in a row. 6 of those have been by -1 or worse, and to add to that Valencia won 4-0 in the same fixture last season.
Feirense vs Farense: Feirense -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 29/20 (Portuguese Segunda, 1600 KO)
Feirense have won 8 of 13 home games, including 4 in their last 5, conceding a grand total of 0 in those 4 wins. Very good at the back, with 10 conceded in 13 games. Not a great deal of these wins have been by -1, but against a team in Farense who have lost 7 of 13 away ganes and several by -1, I believe their weak defence could well leak 2-3 goals against this quality Feirense team and are unlikely to score in my opinion.
This pays 4.3/1.
Win + BTTS @ 38/1
Caen vs Nice: Nice + BTTS @ 11/2 (1300 KO, Ligue 1)
Caen are in a poor patch of home form, while Nice have also struggled away recently. Won this fixture 3-2, 2-1 and 2-1 in their last 4 meetings, while also having a very potent striking force with Ben Arfa fully able to tear any team a new one on his day.
Arouca vs Pacos Ferreira: Pacos Ferreira + BTTS @ 5/1 (1600 KO, Portuguese Primeira)
Pacos have an even record away from home – 3 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses. BTTS has landed in their last 5 meetings, and with Pacos looking to get into the top 5 this weekend with their game in hand, I see a similar game. Won 3 of the last 5, with all wins being BTTS.
Best of luck