This is a joint post from Will and Scott – combining both of their doubles for the day in what looks a fantastic accumulator:
Eibar Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 5/6 (Spain Primera Division KO 19:30 – NAP)
Eibar have played Las Palmas 3 times this season – twice in the cup and once in the league. They have scored 2 goals in each game of these games. In their last 5 games at home in the league, Eibar have scored 2+ goals and have only failed to score at home in 2 of their 13 home games to date. Then we turn our attentions to Las Palmas, then this fills me with more optimism. They have failed to win away from home this season – losing 9 and drawing 3, and in recent history they have never travelled well. They have conceded 2+ goals in 9 of their 12 away matches and in their last 4 consecutive away games. Not surprisingly, Las Palmas haven’t kept a clean sheet away from home this season and they concede on average 2.25 goals a game away from home.
Cracovia Krakow Over 1.5 Team Goals @ 11/10 (Poland Ekstraklasa KO 19:30)
The stats for Cracovia at home are ridiculous. They have scored 32 goals in 12 games at home this season (scoring on average 2.75 goals a game at home), and not surprisingly are the Leagues top-scorers at home by some distance. They have scored 2+ goals at home in their last 9 consecutive home games, so when i saw that they were 11/10to achieve this same feat for a 10th game I was a little surprised. Their opponents tonight, Zaglebie Lubin are a decent outfit – sitting in 7th position (Cracovia are 3rd), however Cracovia have score 2 or more at home against better opposition already this season.
FAC Wien vs Wacker Innsbruck: Innsbruck -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 5/4 (Austrian Erste, 1930 KO) – NAP
This one looks amazing, at least on paper. Top vs Bottom.
FAC Wien have lost 8 and drawn 1 of their 9 home games, conceding 26 at an average of nearly 3 goals per game. Wacker Innsbruck have won 8 and lost 1 of their 9 away games, scoring at a rate of over 3 goals per game. The last away tie between the two ended 5-1 to Wacker.
Paderborn vs RB Leipzig: RB Leipzig -1 Goal Asian Handicap @ 5/4 (Bundesliga II, 1730 KO)
This one also looks pretty good. Leipzig have won 7, drawn 3 and lost the odd game in their 11 away from home.
Paderborn have won 2, drawn 5 and lost 4 – generally in awful form and struggling for goals. The reverse ended 2-0 to Red Bull in September, and they have only got better since.
Together, it pays 18.5/1, while if you back the NAP from both, that will pay 3/1 – and looking at the stats, both NAP’s look great value!
Will & Scott