I usually try to steer clear of midweek football and definitely should have stuck with that premise! 2/4 came home. Sheffield Wednesday V Burnley obliged @ 11/10 and Walsall V Doncaster @ 10/11, Sunderland to their credit could have found the net and the pressure they piled onto City in the final quarter of the game I really thought they were going to. Derby V Preston was a write off with Derby controlling the game which was to be expected but really struggled to imprint any real danger. Not a fantastic result but we move onwards. Four again this week and I feel like I’ve found some real value amongst these, fingers crossed there will be profit come 5 o’clock Saturday!.
‘At a Glance’
- Leeds V Nottingham Forest @ EVENS
- Newcastle V West Brom @ 21/20
- Preston V Huddersfield @ EVENS
- Walsall V Millwall @ 5/6
Leeds vs Nottingham Forest @ EVENS (15:00 KO, English Championship)
Both Teams here still showing over 50% of games at BTTS this season which is always positive. Leeds are currently 29-33 in goals scored v conceded, scored in four of their last five and have conceded in the same amount. Nottingham Forest are 30-25 in terms of goals, scored in four out of five but have only conceded in two. Nottingham Forest’s conceded recorded is a slight concern but at home Leeds have scored in five consecutive matches scoring a total seven goals, Whilst away from home Forest have conceded in four from five. When the two teams met in December it finished 1-1, the home V away stats in this one is enough at Evens to give me confidence.
Newcastle vs West Brom @ 21/20 (15:00 KO, Barclays Premiership)
Two fairly low scoring teams in the premier league this season, which is why the bookies have this one at 21/20. Valid enough when taking into account Newcastle have scored 25 goals whilst West Brom have only managed 23. Naturally though the importance is finding value and for two teams who really have struggled all season long, I feel the defensive problems could be the key to exploiting the price. Newcastle have conceded 44 this season and West Brom have conceded 31, for the low tally of goals though; Newcastle have managed to score in three of their last five with West Brom scoring exactly the same. Newcastle have attacking talent in Perez and Wijnaldum, as for West Brom with Berahino staying through yet another window he has to get playing and providing he has shaken off the ‘dead leg’ he supposedly suffered during the window he can certainly torment this fragile Newcastle defence.
Preston vs Huddersfield @ EVENS (15:00 KO, English Championship)
Preston have fought and got themselves four points off the top half of the table and held there own throughout the season. They have managed to find the net on 25 occasions and conceded 27. Huddersfield themselves have had a slightly more difficult time of it, but have to their credit continued to consistently play a brand of football that brings with it goals. Huddersfield have scored 39 and conceded 42, they are a team that seem to place all of their funds into the BTTS market!. Preston in their last five matches have scored in four of their last five and conceded in the same amount, whilst Huddersfield have scored in five out of five and conceded in three out of five (two clean sheets coming against Charlton and Bolton – so probably understandable!).
Walsall vs Millwall @ 5/6 (15:00 KO, English League One)
Walsall have a fairly decent conceded record for League one having let in 27 goals this season, they have however scored a powerful 47 goals. Millwall have themselves scored an impressive 44 goals already and have conceded 38, they have managed to score in their last six League One fixtures conceding in five. As for Walsall they have scored in five of their last six matches and have conceded in the same amount. Two Very strong attacking sides, Walsall’s high defensive record is a slight concern but on recent matches and Millwall’s consistent goal scoring I see no reason this shouldnt finish BTTS.
The above as a four fold pays around 14/1