Football Tips // BTTS // 12.12.15



Nothing from me last week, circumstances arose that unfortunately kept me from submitting any selections. Back this week with five selections all evens and above.

‘At a Glance’

  • ​Cardiff V Sheffield Wednesday @ EVENS
  • Derby V Brighton @ EVENS
  • QPR V Burnley @ 19/17
  • Bradford City V Southend @ EVENS
  • Lille V Lorient @ 6/5 

Cardiff  V Sheffield Wednesday @ EVENS (15:00 KO, English Championship)

Cardiff BTTS 47% (nine from 19) Sheffield Wednesday 68% (13 from 19)
Cardiff have scored 22 goals this season, having scored in 13 from 19 games, they’ve conceded 18 times in 19 games keeping seven clean sheets. Sheffield Wednesday have scored 25 goals in the Championship thus far, failing to score in four games, Wednesday have conceded 22 goals and have kept six clean sheets. Cardiff sit a place above Sheffield Wednesday in the league table – joint on points but Cardiff have a better goal difference of one!, Both teams have relatively high ‘goals for’ stats and equally high goals conceded tallies which is perfect for this market. Cardiff went through a worrying spell in October where they couldn’t seem to find the net but since November they have scored seven in five games seemingly putting the dry spell behind them. Both teams will be wanting win this they both will be looking for the promotional places, they need to be putting a serious run of results together throughout the Christmas period in order to start the new year closer to the teams above them.  In the last six meetings, four have finished BTTS.

Derby V Brighton @ EVENS (15:00 KO, English Championship) 

Derby BTTS 42% (eight from 19) Brighton BTTS 68% (13 from 19)
Derby are frustrating having scored 26 goals so far, failing to find the net on five occasions!, They have conceded only 11 times keeping 10 clean sheets. Brighton have scored 27 goals, failing to score three times, Brighton have leaked a goal on 16 occasions keeping five clean sheets. Stats out the way before you ask, yes I am a bit mental! this games got 0-0 written all over it bla bla. But has it? ‘goals for’ records of 26 and 27 respectively is impressive, for both teams to score you need to score…. I know conceded records need to be considered but teams who score feel they can score against any defence. Also take into account Brighton sit first whilst Derby sit third, A win here for Derby takes them within a point of Brighton heading into a congested Christmas period. Obviously on the flip side a win for Brighton will take them seven points clear of Derby giving massive breathing space throughout December. If these two teams will ever come out looking to dominate in attack it will be this one.

QPR V Burnley @ 19/17 (15:00 KO, English Championship) 

QPR BTTS 42% (eight from 19) Burnley BTTS 63% (12 from 19)
QPR have scored 24 goals this season, failing to score on seven occasions, They have conceded 25 goals keeping six clean sheets. Burnley have scored 26 goals, failing to do so on four occasion, Burnley have conceded 19 goals keeping five clean sheets. QPR have had a rough time in front of goal recently from 30th October they failed to score on four goals on the bounce, but have found the net in their last two. Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink has now taken the helm at QPR and we can see the fantastic job he did with Burton, he will want to waste no time in stamping his mentality all over QPR and I think this could be the turning point of their season. Burnley currently sit fifth in the Championship, three points off third they are grinding out results but possibly drawing far more than they would like. Although becoming a draw side they score goals,  with a 63% BTTS stat at this stage in the season I feel them scoring and conceding is certainly possible especially with a QPR side looking to turn around their season.

Bradford City V Southend @ EVENS (15:00 KO, English Championship)

Bradford City BTTS 50% (10 in 20) Southend BTTS 50% (10 in 20)
Bradford have scored 22 goals this season, failing to score in five games, They have conceded 20 goals keeping eight clean sheets. Southend have scored 25 goals this term, failing to score on seven occasions, they have conceded 22 goals keeping five clean sheets. It is worth noting that Southend are better in terms of goal scoring away from home only failing to score on 3 occasions! these stalemates came against; Burton, Chesterfield and Doncaster. Both teams have fairly high scoring and conceding records, there is a place difference between the sides with only on goal in favour of Southend separating them. Bradford will be looking to push early being the home side and add the there tally of 22 goals, as previously mentioned Southend seem to score far more goals away from home so this i feel will be an open affair, with plenty of chances for both sides.

Lille V Lorient @ 6/5 (19:00 KO, French Ligue 1) 

Lille BTTS 35% (six from 17) Lorient BTTS (76% 13 from 17)
Lille have scored 11 in 17 matches, failing to score seven times, Lille have conceded 12 goals this term keeping seven clean sheets. Lorient have scored 27 goals in 17 matches, Lorient have failed to score three times, they have conceded 23 goals keeping three clean sheets. Lorient are a great side for BTTS, a high record of BTTS (76%) and considerably high scored and conceded stats. The concern of this one is Lille’s low numbers for both goals scored and conceded, but I don’t feel Lille will be able to contain a Lorient side who have scored 27 goals. In terms of Lille getting on the score sheet they have managed to net 11 times even though they have been playing very poorly, with Lorient’s high conceded tally Lille will feel confident of breaching the oppositions defence especially in front of their own crowd.

Above Selections as a Five-Fold Pays around 38/1.

Good Luck as Always!