Football Tips // BTTS // 19.12.15

Two from four last week with Bradford/Southend Postponed. Derby and Brighton resulted in the first half, Cardiff and Sheffield Wednesday obliged, meaning QPR V Burnley and Lille V Lorient were let downs. Coming into the Lille V Lorient game Lille were by far the more concerning but naturally they ran out 3-0 winners, of course they did, why wouldn’t they?. Football Frustrating as always. Could be worse could be Mourinho! I feel sorry for him I’ve been useless at my job for two years now and I’m still employed, of course he walked away with an estimated 40 million – I’d be lucky to receive a Twix and a barely legible reference. Onto this week’s selections, five across three English leagues four of which are Evens or above.
‘At a Glance’
  • ​Man United vs Norwich @11/10
  • Southampton vs Tottenham @4/5
  • Chelsea vs Sunderland @ 13/8
  • Rotherham vs Hull @ 23/20
  • Wycombe vs Oxford @ EVENS
Man United vs Norwich @ 11/10 (15:00 KO, Barclays Premier League)
Man United BTTS 38% (six from 16) – Norwich BTTS 69% (11 from 16)
United have scored 21 goals this season so far, failing to score on four occasions, They have conceded 12 keeping six clean sheets. Norwich have scored 18 times only failing to find the net four times, they have conceded a massive 28 goals keeping only one clean sheet. Van Gaal’s United are coming under flak for a poor run of form; falling out of the Champions League and losing to Bournemouth of late. The Bournemouth Loss now means United are five games without a win in all competitions. Norwich aren’t in particularly great form themselves but they have been consistent when it comes to scoring goals this season, especially against sides who seem to have a solid defence they’ve got on the score sheet against: Arsenal, Man City, Crystal Palace and Stoke – all teams with the best defences thus far.  I think with Norwich’s poor defensive record United scoring should be a given, with the  poor form and pressure the United side are under at the moment and the habit Norwich have of breaking strong defences anything above Evens is too good to ignore.
Southampton vs Tottenham @ 4/5 (15:00 KO, Barclays Premier League)
Southampton BTTS 50% (eight from 16) – Tottenham BTTS 63% (10 from 16)
Southampton have managed to find the net 21 times failing to score in five matches, they have conceded 19 goals in total keeping five clean sheets. Spurs have scored 26 goals failing to score in four matches, conceded 14 keeping five clean sheets. Southampton have surprised me this season currently sitting 12th I expected a lot more from them, They will certainly be looking to break into the top half of the table against a Spurs side coming off the back of a very poor result at home to Newcastle. Southampton have been fairly consistent  in front of goal this term, and bare in mind In Spurs’ last six premier league games five have finished BTTS.  Tottenham’s BTTS percentage jumps to 71% in away matches (five from seven) making them the second highest team in the league for BTTS away from home.
Chelsea vs Sunderland @ 13/8 (15:00 KO, Barclays Premier League)
Chelsea BTTS 56% (nine from 16) – Sunderland BTTS 44% (seven from 16)
Chelsea have scored 18 times failing to score in 4 games, they have conceded 26 goals only keeping three clean sheets. Sunderland have scored 17 times failing on six occasions, they have conceded a huge 30 goals keeping three clean sheets. I have listed the stats as always but for me this one goes beyond season statistics, Chelsea have just relieved Mourinho of his duties which we all knew was going to happen but I feel the problems have only just begun at Chelsea. If results go the right way and Norwich and Swansea win their games Chelsea can finish the weekend in the bottom three, More unbelievably if Sunderland can win at Stamford Bridge they can go level on points with Chelsea. Since Allardyce’s arrival Sunderland have scored nine goals in eight games, and although results haven’t gone their way they have looked a much stronger attacking outfit. It wouldn’t be unreasonable to imagine anybody netting against Chelsea this season, with the chaos now surrounding the managerial post and the added incentive that Sunderland can level up on points with their opposition Sunderland probably have the best chance of not only scoring but taking points away from Stamford Bridge than they ever have in the last six years. The pressure is all on the Chelsea players now they have gotten their way as they have so many times with management and have succeeded in sacking the ‘unsackable’, They must now prove they are the Championship winning side we saw last year and I just don’t see them as strong enough. 13/8 with the circumstances is just too big to pass up. In the last five meetings between the two, four have finished BTTS.
Rotherham vs Hull @ 23/20 (15:00 KO, English Championship)
Rotherham BTTS 62% (13 from 21) – Hull BTTS 43% (nine from 21)
Rotherham have scored 22 goals this term failing to score in five matches, they have conceded a huge 38 goals keeping four clean sheets. Hull have scored 31 goals thus far only failing to score on two occasions, Hull have conceded 14 goals keeping a whopping 10 clean sheets. This is a tough one to call Hull should have this from the off comfortably winning to nill, they are a side that i will never be fully comfortable selecting in BTTS. BUT they have conceded in four of their last five league outings which is certainly a rarity, they have conceded in their last four games against; Reading, Leeds, Derby and Bristol City the only team I would have happily selected to penetrate Hull would have been Derby. With the previous in mind and added to the fact that Rotherham have scored on 22 occasions – which is a large amount for a side sitting in the bottom three I see absolutely no reason why Rotherham can’t take advantage of the out of character Hull defence and grab at least a goal.  Worth noting that for Rotherham’s home matches the BTTS percentage jumps up to 80% with eight out of 10 games finishing BTTS.
Wycombe vs Oxford @ EVENS (15:00 KO, English League Two) 
Wycombe BTTS 50% (10 from 20) – Oxford BTTS 57% (12 from 21)
Wycombe have scored 26 goals in 20 games this season failing to score on four occasions, they have conceded 21 goals keeping 11 clean sheets. Oxford have scored 32 goals only failing to score in 2 matches, Oxford have conceded 17 goals keeping nine clean sheets. A battle of the clean sheets this one! again the price is positive and although the defences of the two sides are strong, the attacking outfit is consistent and powerful.  At home Wycombe have only failed to score on one occasion (a 2-0 loss to Newport) and away Oxford again have only failed to score on one occasion (a 1-0 defeat to Northampton), so the venue would seem to suit both sides in an attacking sense. Worth noting that in the last six meetings between the sides four have finished BTTS.
Above as a five fold pays around 40/1
Best of Luck!