4/6 overall for the advised selections last week, another red card in another Sheffield Wednesday match meant Preston ran out to nill winners and MK Dons failed to score against Bristol City. Three out of the four winning selections were Evens and above so hopefully there was a decent amount of profit overall for those who followed. Four in total this week staying in England.
Huddersfield vs Ipswich @ 21/20 (15:00 KO, English Championship)
16th placed Huddersfield welcome an Ipswich side who come into this on the back of three straight defeats. Huddersfield find themselves in decent form throughout February, taking seven points from a possible 12. Ipswich still have the chance of a late push for the promotion places, whereas Huddersfield although probably safe will be desperate to enlarge the distance between them and the relegation zone.
These two teams have both consistently scored goals throughout the season, both boasting BTTS %’s of 50 and above. For a team in 16th position Huddersfield scoring 44 goals is far from a poor return, in fact only six teams in the league have scored more goals, Ipswich for the season rest on 40 goals. In terms of defensive power both teams have the tendency to leak goals; Huddersfield have conceded 45 making them the 7th poorest defence in the league, whilst Ipswich have conceded 40 – the most for a side in the top ten. In terms of Home V Away; Huddersfield have scored 25 of their 44 goals at home and conceded 19 of their 45. Away side Ipswich have scored 20 of 40 goals and conceded 23 of 40 whilst away from home.
Huddersfield have scored in seven consecutive home matches, the last in which they failed to score was back in November in a 0-2 defeat to Middlesbrough. Ipswich have scored in four of their last seven matches away from home, failing to find the net against; QPR, Birmingham and Burnley all of which have better defensive records than Huddersfield.
Cardiff vs Preston @ 21/20 (15:00 KO, English Championship)
8th V 9th in a game that is probably much bigger than either side would have thought it would be when the season started. Cardiff are five points off of a play-off place and Preston six, Derby have been unreliable in terms of results of late and Birmingham are possibly over achieving so play off places are very much in reach for both of these teams.
Cardiff sit with a season total of 43 goals this term with 37 goals conceded, Preston have managed to find the net on 32 occasions and conceded 30. Cardiff scored in their 3-1 loss away at Middlesbrough midweek which is certainly no easy achievement and last weekend put four past Brighton. Cardiff have scored in five of their previous seven matches scoring a total 13 goals. Preston are a side that don’t score masses of goals which is proven in the fact they have the lowest ‘goals for’ total in the top ten sides, but what Preston do manage is to score ‘little and often’, since the turn of the year (nine matches) they have only failed to score once in an away tie at Derby.
Cardiff have scored 25 of 43 goals in home matches this season and conceded 14 of 37. Preston don’t have a major difference in terms of goals scored/conceded in regards to venue, Preston have scored 15 of 32 goals away from home and conceded 15 of 30.
Burton vs Walsall @ 15/14 (15:00 KO, English League One)
Two top Sides in the division come up against each other in this one, Burton are top and Walsall sit 4th six points behind them. Although they are 1st and 4th respectively both teams are not the highest scores with all four of the teams around them in the top six scoring more goals this season. A big game regardless as a Walsall victory will cut the gap to top spot down to three.
Burton have managed 42 goals already this season whilst Walsall have been slightly more prolific with 49. Unsurprisingly for two teams this high in the table with relatively low ‘Goals for’ records they also have pretty low ‘goals against’, Burton have only conceded 27 goals whilst Walsall have conceded 33. Much like Preston in the previous selection both of these teams tend to score little and often; you have to track back to November for the last league game in which Burton failed to score (14 matches) whilst Walsall failed to score three games ago in a 0-3 defeat to Millwall, they have still managed to score in five of their last seven league matches. Also worth noting that in 31 matches Walsall have only failed to score on four occasions.
Burton do most of their scoring at home with 26 of their 42 goals coming in home ties whilst they have conceded 12 of their 27 when playing at the Pirelli. Walsall score more goals when playing away and have managed 28 of their 49 in away games, they have also conceded 14 of 33. This should be a cautious affair with two fairly strong defensive sides but both teams are consistent albeit low scorers and I feel the attacking power of both teams will outweigh the defensive abilities. The venue suits both teams and I feel odds on the positive side of Evens is worth a punt.
Portsmouth vs Cambridge @ Evens (15:00 KO, English League Two)
Portsmouth surprisingly sit 8th in League Two, they are in my opinion on performances and ability the best side in the league, Recently they seem to self destruct in front of goal which has clearly cost them in terms of league position. Cambridge are two points below Portsmouth in 11th, they have managed to lose only once in six matches; winning three and drawing twice.
Portsmouth have had a decent return in front of goal so far this season, they’ve managed to score on 49 occasions and conceded on only 28. Cambridge themselves have found the net 47 times and conceded 44. Portsmouth’s defensive record could be of a slight concern for this market although it’s worth noting; in every one of Portsmouth’s last six League Two fixtures they have conceded, they seem to have hit a patch of defences lapses. Portsmouth have scored 27 of their 49 at home this season and conceded only 10 of their 18. As far as Cambridge’s away scoring habits they have scored 23 of their 47 (obviously one less than at home) and have conceded 19 of 44.
As we can see once again the venue of this one isn’t a problem for either side, Portsmouth much stronger at home whilst Cambridge score as many away as they do at home and are defensively stronger. Portsmouth’s defensive record would usually be of a concern for me but their recent results show a defensive frailty. Even money is too positive to turn down.
Best Bet: Huddersfield V Ipswich @ 21/20
- Huddersfield V Ipswich @ 21/20
- Cardiff V Preston @ 21/20
- Portsmouth V Cambridge @ Evens
- Burton V Walsall @ 15/14
The above fourfold pays at around 16/1.
Best of Luck As Always