Just had one final flick through the form, and come up with four BTTS games and three Over 3.5 Goals games – BTTS is slightly less value and more about having the best chance possible, whereas the Over 3.5 tips are very much all great value @ great prices!
BTTS @ 10/1
1. Kasimpasa-Galatasaray @ 7/10 (1700 KO)
Both are in patches of indifferent form at the moment, with a mix of BTTS and non-BTTS games recently. However – 4 of the last 5 meetings between the two have ended as BTTS. 7/10 a decent price!
2. A Vienna-Ried @ 7/10 (1500 KO)
The last 5 meetings between these two have gone BTTS. Usually a lot of goals, and as with the game above, both have issues defending.
3. RNK Split-Lok Zagreb @ 8/11 (1600 KO)
Both have scored in 4 of the last 5 meetings. Both in iffy form, wouldn’t like to back either! I think there will be 3/4 goals, with both scoring a formality – just have to hope for no reds cards…
4. Bastia-Guingamp @ 21/20 (1900 KO)
Stats line up well in this one. BTTS has landed in 4 of the last 5 meets since 2011, and individually, both have a record of 3/5 overall and at home (Bastia) and away (Guingamp).
Over 3.5 Goals @ 33/1
1. Barcelona B-Alcorcon @ 9/4 (1700 KO)
45% of Barca B’s games this season have gone over 3.5 goals – they really cannot defend, but bag a fair few goals themselves. 50% of their away games go over 3.5 too. Alcorcon are a little lower scoring, around 30% over 3.5 this season, and around 20% at home. However, in the last three games these have been the results: 3-2, 4-1 and 2-2. Really fancy this!
2. Falkirk-Hearts @ 12/5 (1500 KO)
Hearts last 5 away games have all gone over 3.5 goals, and 3/5 for Falkirk. This season Hearts have had 13/28 over 3.5 games, while Falkirk have had 10/27. The previous 3 games this season have ended 3-2, 4-1 and 2-1, so 66% over 3.5 goals! Very good odds considering all this.
3. Brentford-Millwall @ 2/1 (1300 KO)
Brentford have had 3/5 over 3.5 goals in the last 5 home games, and all have gone over 2.5 goals – and 8/19 in total (at home, that is). Millwall have had just 4/19 over 3.5 games this season, but are in awful form and Brentford look on it!
Personally today I’m pairing Arsenal -1 Goal @ 17/10 and Barca B-Alcorcon Over 3.5 Goals, looking at around 7/1 ish.
Best of luck!