Football Tips // Champions League // 18-19.10.16

988

After ‘that game’ last night, which was probably the most anticipated game this season – and was the biggest letdown since, well…any England game  – we return to the world of the Champions League!

An accumulator covering the English leagues for today has been posted, and this will cover the European scene for the next two days:

Leverkusen vs Spurs: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 (1945 KO, Tuesday)

Leverkusen have had a pretty good record for this market over the course of this season – 7 in their 10 games so far, which also included shutting out Dortmund in a 2-0 win (Dortmund missing most of their team, to be fair to them). Spurs record in this market isn’t very good, but missing key man Toby Alderweireld – they could be rather fragile at the back. I’d think they have enough in their locker to bag a goal or two, but I can’t see them keeping Bayer at bay.

 

 

 

 

Leicester vs Copenhagen: Leicester Win @ 1/1 (1945 KO, Tuesday)

Both of these beat Brugge convincingly, while Leicester also took 3 points against Porto, with Copenhagen also nicking a point. Leicester have seemingly used this as a welcome distraction from the Premier League where they have suffered thus far – and with the likes of Mahrez and Slimani looking good in this competition – I see no reason why they won’t pick up another valuable 3 points at home tonight.

Celtic vs M’gladbach: M’gladbach Win @ 6/5 (1945 KO, Wednesday)

Celtic really picked up their game last time out and took a 3-3 draw with Man City – Moussa Dembele the huge threat that did most of the damage! Gladbach provide a different challenge – a different formation, more powerful forwards and much more pace with Hermann, Traore and Hazard behind a likely forward man of Raffael. It would typify the nature of football if a team like Celtic could keep Man City at bay, but then lose to an efficient German side…but one I see happening.

PSG vs Basel: BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 7/5 (1945 KO, Wednesday)

PSG are a huge threat to any team – but haven’t been quite the same since Blanc and Ibrahimovic departed. Defensively as well as offensively – Cavani has taken over the scoring mantle, but at the back, they are conceding more goals. They have already lost 3-1 to Monaco, 2-0 to Toulouse and even conceded to the worst sides in the league…and against Basel, they play a team who are full of pace and goals. Is it a risk to back a team to score at the Parc de Princes? Yes…but when the home side in question are missing Aurier, Pastore, Di Maria, Kurzawa, Maxwell and Motta – not so much!

As an accumulator – this pays in the region of 22/1.

Just a note – I have see the Bet365 offer – but unfortunately with goals being expected, and a Barca win equally expected, there is no value in either match result, goals, or 1st half goals to an extent that we could manipulate the market to make a sure profit – even over 3.5 goals is 10/11!

The normal bet in that case would be 1st half goals, but that requires Over 1.5 to be around the 8/5 mark. The price at the moment is around 1/1, so you’d have to hope that there would be no early goal and let the price roll out a little before backing, but one early goal ruins the whole thing and could leave you losing £100 or so…which isn’t what we want!