Typically this weekend the two games we left out of our tips from the 10 game preview won, while two drew…costing us 6/1 and 18/1 accumulators. Otherwise 8 winning tips from 10 selections, and 2/4 on Sunday – Sunderland Most Booking Points @ 6/4 and R Madrid B @ Evens.
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Easter Monday brings around another set of fixtures – we are leaving out the likes of Man City, and sticking mainly with the early football in England and Holland, as well as one game in Germany that we feel represents value. Here are my selections for today:
1. Eastleigh Win @ Evens vs Welling (1500 KO)
Eastleigh are the leagues 2nd top scorers with 76 goals – while Welling languish down the bottom of the table with relegation a real possibility. Eastleigh have won 4 of their last 5 away games – the best away form in the league. Welling on the other hand have lost the last 5 home games, scoring just 3 and conceding over 10.
2. Bromley Win @ 8/11 vs Maidenhead (1500 KO)
Bromley are in very good form – winning 3 and drawing 2 of their last 5 away games. Maidenhead have lost their last 5 home games, conceding a lot of goals in the process. The last two meetings have ended 4-2 and 6-1 to Bromley, so expecting an easy win for the side chasing promotion.
3. Oberhausen Win @ 5/4 vs Dusseldorf II (1200 KO)
Oberhausen are unbeaten in their last 5 away games with 3 wins and 2 draws – and have won the only 2 away meetings between the sides so far. Dusseldorf II’s have lost 3 of their last 5 home games, conceding 3’s and 4’s. 12.00 KO – so keep an eye out for it.
4. De Graafschap-Volendam Over 3.5 Goals @ 11/10 (1330 KO)
Volendam games when playing away from home average 4.8 goals per game! In their 15 away games this season, 13 have gone over, including 4 of the last 5. De Graafschap have a record of 13 over, 19 under – and at home 6 over and 10 under. A small risk, but a game I think will have plenty of goals!
5. NEC Neijmegan Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 vs Top Oss (1330 KO)
These two are among the few highest scorers in the league. Over 3.5 is a good looking bet @ 6/5, but NEC have won 6 away games in a row with 4/6 going over 2.5, while Top Oss have won 8 of their last 9 home games, with 5 of the 8 wins going over 2.5 – the game earlier this season ended 3-1 to NEC, and I’m expecting a similar result today.
6. Besiktas-Istanbul Buyuksehir BTTS @ 21/20 (1800 KO)
The last 7 meetings have all ended BTTS in this fixture, and with Istanbul being incredibly good this season after promotion, we are expecting the same again. Both’s recent games in the league have been a mish-mash of BTTS and BTNTS, but we are going with BTTS @ 21/20, which is an amazing price if you look at the stats.
As a 6 fold, it pays 75/1, but here is my suggested 4 fold:
1. Eastleigh @ Evs, Bromley @ 8/11, Besiktas-Istanbul BTTS @ 21/20, NEC + Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 – 15/1
And my NAP for today:
2. Eastleigh Win @ Evs vs Welling Utd
Since Oberhausen kick off very early @ 1200 today – I thought it best to leave them out of any selected bet, but they are good value @ 5/4 today. Volendam-Graafschap statistically is a very good shot, but Volendam have been in poor form recently, so again that’s why it’s left out of the main accumulator tipped.
Best of luck for today!