50% yesterday – West Ham/Astra BTTS + Over 2.5 landed after 36 minutes, Southampton won 2-0 and Jablonec-Copenhagen BTTS won @ Evens – the rest were close, althoug Zilina thought they had the game won and needed an extra time away goal to go through. Sturm-Kazan was one goal off, while Bilbao ended 0-0, with them having a good deal of the chances.
Today I have a couple of statistically good tips – mainly looking at the goals market:
1. Sandefjord-Mjondalen Over 3.5 Goals @ 6/4 (Norwegian Tippeligaen, 1800 KO)
This is the battle of the bottom two! Mjondalen have conceded 44, and scored 28 (72 today) in 18 games – a perfect average of four goals per game. Sandefjord have scored 18 and conceded 42, 60 in total – 3.4 goals per game. The last few meets have been as follows: 2-2, 2-1, 2-2, 4-2, 2-1. Always at least 3 goals. Mjondalen’s last game ended 6-3 vs Odd, and it was 3-0 to Odd after 25 minutes! Sandefjord’s last game – they lost 3-2 to Lillestrom, so both these teams can score plenty, it’s just a case of keeping it tight the other end. Excellent value!
2. Piast-Cracovia Over 2.5 Goals @ 23/20 (Polish Ekstraklasa, 1700 KO)
The Polish league has been a happy hunting ground of late, with lots of value on BTTS as well as Over 2.5. Today Cracovia take on Piast, who are in pretty awful form away from home. Cracovia won 3-0 in may, 3-1 in March while Piast won 4-2 and 5-1 last season. Form is temporary…class is permanent – and Piast are usually so much better than they have been of late. BTTS was a little risky, but over 2.5 a corking price @ 23/20.
3. RNK Split-NK Zagreb BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals @ 7/4 (Croatian HNL, 1900 KO)
Let’s keep this simple. Irrelevant of form – the last 7 meetings have all been BTTS + Over 2.5 Goals. 7! A mix of wins for both and the odd draw. 7 BTTS + Ov 2.5’s in RNK’s last 10 home games, 6 BTTS + Ov 2.5’s in Zagreb’s last 10 away. Statistically sound.
4. CSMS Iasi-CFR Cluj Over 2.5 Goals @ 13/10 (Romanian Liga I, 1900 KO)
Four of the last five meetings between the two have gone over 2.5 goals. 3-0 and 4-0 wins for Cluj, then a 4-2 win for Iasi. 1-1 after that, then 2-2. It’s a low scoring league, but this looks good value to me!
Four tips, all Evens or above. Here are the options:
1. NAP: 1 @ 5/4
2. Double: 1 + 2 @ 3.7/1
3. Treble: 1-3 @ 12.5/1
4. Accumulator: 1-4 @ 30/1
We are now a day away from the start of the Premier League season – so if you fancy a bit of Fantasy Football this season we are running a league with a £100 prize pot for the top 5 players. Click here to join!
Best of luck!