Yesterday was going oh so well – AZ/Astra had 5 goals in the 1st half, St Etienne went 1-0 up and had a missed penalty and Bilbao were 2-0 up at HT. Then it went down the drain. AZ-Astra NAP won, but St Etienne had a red card and drew 1-1 (shock horror, never happens to us) and Bilbao lost the plot and lost 3-2 to a average Slovakian side. Just can”t see stuff like that coming!
Couple of good bets today value wise – probably won’t pick four, but I see two games I like:
1. KR Reykjavik Win + Over 2.5 Goals @ 5/4 vs ÍBV Vestmannaeyjar (Icelandic Pepsideild, 1900 KO – NAP)
KR have won 3 of their last 5 games overall, and 3/5 away – league games that is. Against this team today – 7 wins in the last 8 meetings, and 5 of those have been over 2.5 goals. The last of which was under a month ago in a 4-1 win, and before that a few 3-0’s and 3-1’s – but usually plenty of goals!
2. Banik Sokolov Draw No Bet @ 13/8 vs Vlasim (Czech 2nd League, 1630 KO – ???)
On Bet365 this is a Saturday game, but on most other sites its a 1630 KO on Friday – so I’m going to say if it’s a Friday game, do this in the treble, but if not, simply the NAP or double. Sokolov have started the season well, winning 3/3 and conceding 0. Vlasim have lost 2 from 3 games, against teams that are fairly poor. In terms of history – Sokolov have not lost against them in 9 games, and 6 of those they have won, half away and half home. 11/5 for the win is risky, but DNB @ 13/8 looks very good to me!
3. Magdeburg Win @ 13/8 vs Bremen II (Bundesliga III, 1800 KO)
Magdeburg are a bit like the new Leipzig – rising through the divisions quickly. I’m not sure of their funding, but they breezed through the Regionalliga last season, winning the division at a canter. They have won 2 from 3 so far, scoring 2 goals per game. Bremens 2nd team have lost 2 from 3, and look generally quite poor. In Lars Fuchs and Christian Beck – they have two dangerous forwards with great scoring records. Good price for the win, form considering!
Due to the unknown nature of the Czech game, and what day it’s actually on (I’d back Flashscores or Soccerway over 365 anyday as they have done this sort of thing so many times before) I’d go with 1 + 3 as the double @ 5/1, and if the Czech game is today it makes it a 13/1 treble.
There were a few tempting games in France, but stuck with these three – I am staying away from those sort of leagues for a while yet. Very unpredictable. Our Fantasy Football league is still open for entrants – so if you fancy joining the party a few gameweeks late, click here!
Best of luck