At the time of writing this, it’s around 4pm – so none of our tips have actually kicked off yet. Friday brings about the usual raft of Dutch and French 2nd Division games. In Holland, you will rarely find a game where BTTS is over Evens. On the other hand in France, well at least Ligue 2, you will rarely find a game where BTTS is under Evens. Contrasting leagues…The French is comparable to Argentina, where every game’s BTTS price is over Evens, usually 11/8 or even 2/1!
Anyway – enough about that. 3 games from France for tomorrow, and one from Croatia:
1. Troyes Win @ 7/5 vs Niort
Niort are very average at home – literally nothing special. Troyes away are fantastic. 4 wins in the last 5 away games, and they have won the last two games vs this opposition 4-1. That will play a part on the mentality side, both good and bad. Troyes could be over confident knowing this, or Niort could be apprehensive about attacking too much as they too well know what Troyes can do. We still think Troyes will win, and probably to nil.
2. Clermont-Valenciennes BTTS @ 11/10
There is little history between these two – the most recent meeting (in the last 8 years) ended 2-1 earlier this season. BTTS records are both 4 out of the last 5 games in Ligue 2, so we are expecting this to land.
3. Laval-Arles BTTS @ 11/10
Arles may well be in poor form, but they have a knack for bagging a goal even when losing. Laval at home are very good, with both scoring in 4 of their last 5 games. Arles away from home – 3/5 BTTS, which isn’t bad considering some of the teams they have played. In terms of history between the two – both have scored in their last 4 meetings!
4. Lok Zagreb Win @ 8/5 vs Istra
Winter break ended just over a week ago now, and in their other away game Zagreb won 6-0 against a better side than the one they face tomorrow. Overall, Zagreb have won 4 of their last 5, and 3/5 away from home. Istra have not won in 5 games overall, and at home they are decent. In their last 5 games, Lokomotiv have won 4. There’s normally, on average 5 goals per game in this fixture – 25 in the last 5! Good value, all things considered.
As an Accumulator, this pays 27.5/1, and if you want something smaller consider the following:
- Troyes Win @ 6/4 + Clermont-Valenciennes BTTS @ 11/10 – 4.25/1
And a risky double that I like:
- Troyes Win to Nil @ 11/4 + Zagreb-Istra Over 3.5 Goals @ 15/8 – 10/1
Anyway – those are our four picks for tomorrow!
Best of luck