No tips from myself today – but tomorrow I am quietly confident on a 35/1 4 fold that has caught my eye! Unsure why, but Friday’s seem to be my most successful (last Friday we had a 25/1 win). Anyway – here is my backed 4 team and why:
1. Sint Truiden HT-FT @ 7/4 (KO @ 19.30)
This team have done us well over the past few months. Currently top of the league, and hammering a fair few teams – their odds were 1/7 at home last weekend against a team similar in quality to this week’s opposition. They are strolling the league, 10 points clear. Tomorrow they face RWS Bruxelles, whom they have beaten in all of the last 4 games, all to nil and the last a 6-0 whopping. In 3 of the last 4 meetings, HT-FT won as a bet, with 6-0, 1-0, 1-0 and 2-0 wins. I was tempted by -1 at a smaller price, but with 2 1-0 wins, and a struggle to a 1-0 win last weekend, for me it’s a little less risky.
In terms of form – won 4 and drawn 1 away from home, which was against Seraing Utd who are one of their main rivals. Bruxelles have lost 2 in their last 5 but only won 1, and look frail at the back. Near 2/1 is an amazing price for this game!
2. VVV Venlo-Jong Ajax Over 3.5 Goals @ 6/4 (KO @ 19.00)
The last and only three league meetings between these two have all gone over 3.5, with 4-0, 4-2 and 5-1 results. Statistically, only 6/22 VVV games have gone over 3.5 goals, which makes me a little nervous, but Jong Ajax have the attacking ability of their first team, and the defensive ability of a team of 10 year olds. Most of their games go over 3.5 goals, with a couple of 3-3 and 4-4 draws recently. They do well at VVV, winning 2 of those 3 meetings. In 28 games this season, 17 have gone over for Jong Ajax – that’s the defining stat for me.
3. Angers Draw No Bet @ 5/4 (KO @ 19.00)
Angers away form is excellent! 3 wins and a draw/loss apiece. Creteil have drawn 3 of their last 5 home games, with a win/loss apiece. Overall they have won just 1 game, losing 2 and drawing 2. Angers are in the top 3 and gunning for the top 2, so at worst a draw is what I expect. 21/10 was a price they were at against Auxerre when we last backed them, and they pulled through with a 90th minute winner.
4. Le Havre-Orleans BTTS @ 11/8 (KO @ 19.00)
I mentioned this on Twitter yesterday – this is incredible value! At home, Le Havre have 5/5 BTTS, and away Orleans record is also 5/5 for BTTS (including a cup game against lower league opposition, where they conceded 4). The previous game in October ended 2-2. That is all that needs saying! All the stats point to BTTS, and at an astonishing price!
Like mentioned – 35/1 with Bet365 (William Hill have not priced up the Sint Truiden game yet, but price will be similar).
A smaller priced double that I fancy is:
- Sint Truiden HT-FT @ 7/4 + Le Havre-Orleans BTTS @ 11/8 – 5.5/1
Best of luck!